Tonight, the Fed will basically cut 100% by 25 basis points, which is the third cut in 2025, bringing the federal funds rate to the range of 4.25%-4.5%. The market has long been priced in, so the interest rate cut itself will not fry. The key is to look at two things: 1. New dot plot: The September version says that there will only be one cut (25bp) in 2026, and this time it is likely to be revised down twice or maintain once or twice, but the overall will be less than the market thinks (the market is now betting on three or four times in 2026). This is a hawkish rate cut - it has been lowered

Bitcoin is now hovering around $92,000 to $93,000, and fell slightly around noon today, falling about 0.5% to 1% in 24 hours. This year's trend is quite exciting: it rushed to an all-time high of 126,000 in early October, and then fell back to around 90,000 due to tariff policies and the stock market. It has now rebounded from last week's 80,900, but it is still consolidating. The key is to see the Fed's interest rate meeting tonight - 99% of the market thinks it will be cut by 25 basis points. If the dovish point is declared, BTC is likely to rush to another 94,000 to 100,000; If it is hawkis

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is currently around $90,110. It dipped 0.6% last night, and overall there are quite a few neutral signals. Both RSI and MACD are hovering in the middle—not overbought or oversold. The 50-day moving average is near $92,000 acting as resistance, while the 200-day moving average around $88,000 is providing support. The chart looks like a descending wedge, getting squeezed. If it breaks above $92,000, it could push to $94,000; on the other hand, if it falls below $89,500, it might drop back to test $85,000. In the short term, the trend is mainly range-bound. I

Ethereum is now steady at around $3,053, with a slight increase of 0.4% in the past day and a market cap of $36.7 billion. It's been quite stable in the short term, holding the $3,000 support on the charts, and the community remains optimistic, especially with Layer2 booming after the Dencun upgrade. But don't forget, any shift in the macroeconomic environment could trigger a pullback to $2,950. The overall trend is upward, so keep an eye on whether it breaks through $3,100. #今日你看涨还是看跌？

Setting aside strategy formulation and focusing solely on technical indicators, Bitcoin is oscillating near a key retracement zone. In the short term, there is some rebound elasticity, but in the medium to long term, it remains in a high-level correction.
The 7-day simple moving average (SMA7) is around $90,567.86, and the 30-day is around $93,604.98. The current price is slightly below both moving averages, indicating short-to-mid-term weakness.
The 200-day moving average is around $109,381.98, which is significantly higher than the current price, suggesting that the long-term cost of this ra

Bitcoin is a bit stuck right now. The price is around $89,500, down about 2.6% in the past 24 hours. It was higher seven days ago, and now it's pulled back nearly 30% from the October high of $126,000. In the short term, support is at $88,400 and resistance at $92,500. If support doesn't hold, it could test lower levels. But in the medium to long term, institutional buying and expectations of Fed rate cuts are providing support, and community sentiment is still pretty bullish—81% are optimistic. Overall, it's a correction and bottom-building phase. Don't panic; keep an eye on Fed data and opti

Today, Bitcoin is steadily hovering above $93,000, up more than 6% in 24 hours. It surged to over $92,600 this morning, took a short breather in the afternoon, and is now around $92,800. The Fed shut off the QT valve last night, injecting $13.5 billion in liquidity. ETFs are frantically absorbing capital, and BlackRock's IBIT took in over $700 million in a single day. The institutions are finally waking up. On-chain whales have accumulated over 20,000 coins, and exchange reserves are down 15%. It feels like the bulls are about to make a comeback.
Technically, the RSI has climbed above 50, lea

Bitcoin opened today by continuing the rebound after yesterday's liquidity sweep, oscillating in the $86,000-$88,000 range in the morning and testing support at yesterday's low. Subsequently, boosted by the Federal Reserve ending quantitative tightening (QT) and injecting $13.5 billion in liquidity, as well as by net inflows into ETFs, buying surged, pushing the price quickly above $92,000, with gains at one point reaching 7.5%. In the afternoon, it consolidated near $92,000-$93,000, with trading volume increasing by 25%, indicating the initial emergence of bullish momentum, but it did not eff

Today's price movement shows a "V-shaped Rebound" characteristic, quickly rising from the low point, but the Trading Volume has not increased, and the strength of long positions is not solid. December has historically performed strongly (the fourth best month), combined with the Fusaka upgrade (increasing L2 throughput) and institutional adoption, making the long-term bullish probability high towards $3,500-$4,000 (18-25% rise potential). However, short-term risks lean bearish: if it falls below $2,800, it may test the $2,700 support; if it holds, it aims for the $2,900 resistance.

Bitcoin technically just broke through the upper band of the multi-month channel, signaling a full bull market. Maintain the support at eighty-eight thousand. A short-term pullback to eighty-nine thousand for a whipsaw, then straight to one hundred ten to one hundred eleven, Fibonacci 0.618 level. RSI indicator at sixty-eight, overbought but no death cross. MACD is positive at over four hundred, momentum is upward. The mid-term channel top is fourteen thousand. Twenty thousand by the end of the year is not a daydream; the Halving effect historically always leads to a pump. On the macro front,

Hey, regarding the future trend of Bitcoin, I would like to briefly share my views from both technical and macro perspectives. Overall, the market is currently a bit volatile, but I am optimistic in the long term—however, this is not investment advice, let's just consider it a casual chat. First, let's talk about the technical aspect. Bitcoin recently fell from this year's high of $126,000 and is now hovering around $85,000 to $90,000, erasing most of this year's gains. The key support level is at $83,500; if it cannot hold, it may test the $80,000 low again. On the other hand,

Today, the PPI data for September has just been released. The final demand index rose by 0.2, and the overall inflation pressure is steadily rising slightly. On the goods side, it jumped by 0.9, but core services are basically flat, slightly softer than expected. The Fed's rate cut expectations have stabilized, and risk assets should be cheerful. On the retail sales side, last week's September figure was 733.3 billion, with a growth of 0.8. Consumer spending hasn't collapsed, but it hasn't surged either; the economy has a strong soft landing vibe. As for Bitcoin, it can catch a

Bitcoin has been quite volatile lately. From a macro perspective, global risk sentiment is low, with both the stock market and the crypto market pulling back simultaneously. In November, it dropped about 21%, falling from a high of 126,000 to just over 80,000, and is now stable around 87,000. The Fed's rate cut expectations have risen, but institutional funds saw over 200 million in outflows, and leveraged liquidations have added to the chaos. However, historically, after this kind of capitulation, the probability of a rebound is high—there's a 90-100% chance the low won't be broken. The long-

Bitcoin's recent performance has been quite grim. The current price is swaying around 90k to 93k USD, marking a six-month low, wiping out all gains for this year. From a technical perspective, it has broken below the 93k support level and entered a clear downward channel. Short-term bearish signals are abundant—such as the death cross just triggered, the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average, and the RSI indicator showing it's a bit Oversold, suggesting a possible Rebound. However, if it really breaks the 89k support, the next target will head straight for 74k

2025/11/18/BTC
The market's increasing vigilance towards the model of technology giants relying on massive debt issuance to support capital expenditures, coupled with the ongoing uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy path, together constitute a poor backdrop for the current market's "full-scale sell-off."
The technical/daily RSI has entered the extremely oversold zone, showing multiple bearish divergences. After this wave of decline, the downward momentum may gradually weaken. In fact, 92000 was my expected retracement level, but I didn't expect the waterfal

2025/11/10/BTC
The macro environment / The U.S. government is expected to end the longest shutdown in history this week, which may boost risk sentiment. In terms of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, sentiment has somewhat decreased, with the odds of a rate cut in December rising to 67%, still dominating; otherwise, gold would not have rebounded.
Technology/BTC has risen by 5000 points in the past 24 hours, breaking through two double tops in nearly a week. The first double top is at 104,000, and the second double top is at 103,500. This is a clear breakout upward structure. The trend

2025/11/7/BTC
Macro / The number of job cuts by Challenger in the US in October hit the highest level for the same period in over twenty years. Combined with market doubts about the return on investment in AI and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, US stocks and cryptocurrencies were sold off, and the panic index VIX briefly broke through 20.
The continuous selling pressure in the technology/spots market has led to an imbalance in market structure, and the legislation of the "Cryptocurrency Market Structure Act" has almost become a foregone conclusion. In the longer cycle, Bitco