Bitcoin technically just broke through the upper band of the multi-month channel, signaling a full bull market. Maintain the support at eighty-eight thousand. A short-term pullback to eighty-nine thousand for a whipsaw, then straight to one hundred ten to one hundred eleven, Fibonacci 0.618 level. RSI indicator at sixty-eight, overbought but no death cross. MACD is positive at over four hundred, momentum is upward. The mid-term channel top is fourteen thousand. Twenty thousand by the end of the year is not a daydream; the Halving effect historically always leads to a pump. On the macro front, the Fed will inject capital next year, with three to four rate cuts, leading to a liquidity flood. Bitcoin loves this soup, M2 supply is depegged, but it will chase fiercely—plus the ETF is attracting over one hundred billion, with institutions clustering together, BlackRock and Goldman Sachs betting heavily. As for the geopolitical turmoil, the safe-haven attribute shines bright. Whenever there’s chaos in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, or Ukraine, capital flows to BTC. There are risks; the regulatory hammer might strike, and the SEC loves to pick fights or the US stock bubble might burst, leading to a series of falls—but overall, the bullish probability is eighty percent, and next year could see a compound doubling. The strategy is to keep a million in capital without margin; play twenty thousand in spot—buy BTC/USDT on Binance or OKX, set a stop loss at eighty-five thousand, and take profit at eleven thousand. Buy in batches: buy more at lower points and reduce at higher points. Invest three hundred thousand in ETFs like IBIT or FBTC, with a low threshold and a fee of 0.25, following the market steadily. Keep the remaining five hundred thousand in cash waiting for a pullback, or try leveraged futures, but don’t exceed two times; if your heart isn't good, don’t touch it. Maintain fifty percent of the total position to safeguard against black swans and review K-lines and news focused on Fed meetings monthly. Cash out half of the profits—don’t be greedy. Do you think this surge to ten thousand is stable? And how much capital do you have in the sprint? #加密市场回暖