Kalshi refunds the prediction fee for "Supreme Leader Khamenei's death," promising not to let users incur losses.

NYSE parent ICE completes new $600M investment in Polymarket

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), said Friday it completed a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, deepening its bet on prediction markets as a new area of growth for exchange operators. The company also said it expects to

Energy analysts warn: Escalating attacks by Houthi forces could force oil-producing countries like Saudi Arabia to cut production.

Energy analysts warn that if the Houthis launch renewed attacks on Red Sea shipping, the oil market will face greater turmoil, which could lead to global oil supply cuts and higher oil prices. Saudi Arabia is moving crude oil to Red Sea ports to reduce the impact, but if the attacks continue, output could be constrained and force Saudi Arabia and other countries to cut production.

The probability of "Israel launching strikes against Yemen before March 31" on a certain prediction platform has risen to 60%.

On March 28, the Houthi armed forces launched missiles at Israel for the first time, claiming to target sensitive military facilities. Prediction platforms indicate that the likelihood of Israel attacking Yemen has risen to 60% before 2026. Analysts are concerned that if the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is blocked, it will affect energy transportation from the Middle East to Europe and Asia.

Polymarket has reached a strategic partnership with Parti.com to launch the first live prediction market product.

Polymarket has reached a strategic partnership with Parti.com to launch a product that integrates real-time prediction markets into the live streaming experience. Streamers and viewers can directly discover and trade Polymarket's markets on Parti.com, while also launching the Earn Program, allowing creators to profit from viewer trades. Additionally, Boutique Culture Markets will be introduced to expand the prediction markets for cultural hotspot events.

California prohibits state officials from profiting in prediction markets using insider information.

California Governor Newsom has signed a decree prohibiting government officials from profiting in prediction markets using insider information. The statement pointed out that some officials made precise bets prior to military operations, earning hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars, which seriously affects fairness. This measure aims to curb the abuse of public service for private gain.

Insider action! Will Trump cease fire by the end of April?

The recent developments in the U.S.-Iran conflict over the past week are escalating continuously. The U.S. 82nd Airborne Division has canceled its rotation at the "Joint Readiness Training Center," the 82nd Combat Aviation Brigade, which typically relies on sea transport, has used air transport instead, and the blood supply reserves at U.S. military bases in the Middle East have increased by 500%. The largest U.S. Department of Defense overseas hospital—Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany—has suspended some civilian services. The last time this combination of actions occurred was on the eve of the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003. Just at this moment of heightened tension, Trump suddenly posted that the U.S. and Iran had engaged in "very, very good and productive dialogue" and announced that the U.S. would pause military strikes on Iran's energy infrastructure for five days. In the early hours of March 27, Beijing time, Trump posted again that the pause would be extended until April 6. This objective fact contrasts with Trump's