三菱日联分析师：伊朗战争引发油价上涨或促部分央行加息，澳元受益明显

UBS Expects Fed to Cut Rates 50 Basis Points by Year-End; 10-Year Treasury Yield Forecast at 3.75%

UBS analysts predict the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points by 2026, despite rising energy prices. Fed Chairman Powell suggests limited tightening is needed, focusing on core inflation evidence before cuts. The forecast for Treasury yields indicates potential downward movement.

Fed Likely to Hold Rates in April at 99.5% Probability, CME Data Shows

The Federal Reserve is highly likely to keep interest rates steady in April, with a 99.5% probability. Looking ahead to June, there's a 94.1% chance of maintaining rates, a 0.5% chance of an increase, and a 5.4% chance of a cut.

Rate Swap Market Signals Dovish Shift, Pricing in 15 Basis Points of Fed Rate Cuts by December

Gate News message, April 17 — The rate swap market is signaling a dovish shift, with current pricing reflecting expectations for 15 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts by December.

Hong Kong Interbank Rates Rise Across All Tenors; One-Month HIBOR Climbs to 2.55%

On April 17, Hong Kong interbank offered rates (HIBOR) increased across all tenors, with the one-month rate rising to 2.55143% and overnight rates hitting the highest level since January at 3.36536%.

Bank of Japan Governor Ueda: Middle East Conflict Poses Dual Risk of Rising Inflation and Economic Slowdown

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda highlighted the conflict in the Middle East as a source of inflation and economic slowdown risks. He confirmed that the Monetary Policy Committee will determine suitable measures to reach the 2% inflation target at the upcoming meeting.

Fed Holds Rates Steady in April With 99.5% Probability, CME Data Shows

The CME's Fed Watch tool indicates a 99.5% probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in April, with similar projections for June showing a 98% likelihood of steady rates and minimal chances for rate cuts or hikes.