Gate News bot message, approximately one hour ago, an anonymous wallet was created and placed a bet of $25,676 on Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz by March 31. Following this transaction, the odds have increased to 77%.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Prediction: the market platform will accelerate its expansion in Asia; regulatory gray areas are the biggest challenge for further growth
Polymarket and PredicXion are expanding into Asian markets and launching Chinese-language support to drive localization. However, countries such as China and India lack clear regulation for blockchain prediction markets, and there are strict restrictions on gambling activities, which affects market expansion. The difference between prediction markets and gambling is their ability to aggregate information.
GateNews20m ago
Polymarket takes down market on missing US pilot after backlash
Polymarket removed a market tied to the fate of a missing US service member after mounting backlash, saying the listing violated its “integrity standards.”
The controversy erupted after a prediction market appeared asking whether US authorities would confirm the rescue of a pilot reportedly shot
Cointelegraph2h ago
A prediction market platform delisted a “Missing U.S. military aviator” prediction market, saying it violated integrity standards.
A prediction market platform removed markets about the fate of a missing American pilot for violating the “integrity standards,” triggering controversy. U.S. House lawmakers criticized such betting as “disgusting” and questioned rule transparency. Meanwhile, concerns about insider trading have intensified, and regulators are calling for stronger restriction measures.
GateNews2h ago
Nevada court extends ban on Kalshi sports prediction market, ruling it has no substantive difference from gambling
A Nevada judge ruled that Kalshi’s sports prediction market products have no substantive difference from gambling, extended the injunction prohibiting it from offering related services locally until the case is further considered. Regulators believe it should be subject to the state’s gambling regulations.
GateNews5h ago
Judge continues Nevada ban on Kalshi sports markets
A Nevada judge extended a ban on Kalshi's sports-related prediction markets, agreeing with regulators that they resemble illegal gambling. Kalshi argues they are federally regulated, prompting a broader legal conflict as state actions against prediction markets increase nationwide.
CoinDesk5h ago
Polymarket’s Claude Mythos model: the April release probability drops to 28%, and the June release probability rises to 53%
Polymarket’s prediction data shows that the probability of the "Claude Mythos" model released in April dropped sharply to 28%, while the probability of the model released in June rose to 53%. Related contract rules require that the model must be confirmed only after following specific naming conventions and being made publicly accessible, and Anthropic also prohibits users from "free-riding" on Claude.
GateNews6h ago
