Mike Novogratz Says Crypto’s Age of Speculation May Be Ending as Institutions Take Lead

CryptoNewsLand
BTC-1,63%
  • Institutional investors now guide crypto markets as retail demand for extreme gains continues to fade.

  • The FTX collapse reshaped risk management and pushed investors to focus on trust and transparency.

  • October liquidations exposed fragile momentum while tokenized real world assets gained attention.

Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz says big institutions steer the crypto market. He made the remarks at the CNBC Digital Finance Forum in New York. He said large firms now look for stability instead of high-risk trades. That shift, he explained, signals a different stage for the industry.

Crypto’s ‘age of speculation’ may be over, says Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz https://t.co/P7Lxv8kAQm

— CNBC (@CNBC) February 10, 2026

He recalled that earlier cycles depended on retail excitement. Small investors once rushed in hoping for sharp gains. Many targeted life-changing returns within short periods. Now, that aggressive appetite has cooled.

Institutions Shift Market Priorities

Novogratz said retail traders once powered strong rallies in digital assets. Social momentum and fast-moving narratives often drove prices higher. In contrast, institutions focus on steady yearly performance. They approach crypto with portfolio discipline.

Large firms study liquidity conditions before deploying capital. They examine custody arrangements and regulatory exposure as well. They also control leverage and spread risk across assets. This method changes how money flows through the market.

As institutional participation grows, market swings look different. Sudden spikes still happen, yet longer trends carry more weight. Moreover, capital tends to stay in place longer. The overall tone appears more measured than in past cycles.

FTX Collapse Altered Investor Behavior

The collapse of FTX in 2022 marked a turning point. Bitcoin dropped roughly 78% from $69,000 to about $15,700 in November. That decline shook confidence across the sector. Many investors reconsidered how they managed risk.

Novogratz viewed the episode as a deep break in trust. Afterward, firms strengthened internal reviews and oversight. Retail traders cut leverage and reassessed exposure. At the same time, calls for transparency grew louder.

The fallout still shapes decisions today. Investors now pay closer attention to balance sheets. They examine counterparties before committing funds. Risk awareness remains higher than before the collapse.

October Liquidations Exposed Fragile Momentum

Another shock hit the market on October 10. A wave of liquidations swept through major tokens. The move forced many retail traders and some market makers out. Selling pressure rose without a clear external trigger.

Novogratz said traders struggled to identify a single cause. The absence of a clear catalyst fueled confusion. Forced selling then deepened losses across exchanges. Weak retail participation slowed any immediate rebound.

He stressed that narratives often guide crypto cycles. These stories take time to build interest and attract capital. When heavy liquidations remove participants, recovery takes longer. Momentum does not return overnight.

Novogratz expects speculation to remain part of crypto markets. However, he believes attention will shift toward real-world use cases. He pointed to tokenized real-world assets as a likely driver of growth. He also said lawmakers show support for the CLARITY Act, which could bring clearer market structure rules.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Trump says the Strait of Hormuz will be made “naturally open,” and the market shows disagreement through selling off

Trump expressed optimism in his speech about Iran’s military actions, saying the Strait of Hormuz will be “naturally open,” but he did not provide a specific plan, leading markets to sell off. Iran, in turn, made no concessions and plans to pass legislation to collect transit fees, further increasing uncertainty. The market reaction shows that risk assets underwent broad repricing.

MarketWhisper13m ago

Monad locks in $350 million, and its low fee rate and FDV being halved release a cautious signal

Monad blockchain reached a total value locked (TVL) of $355 million within about four months, setting a record for rapid growth, but its daily transaction fees are less than $3,000, indicating a disconnect between locked capital and real trading activity. At the same time, the fully diluted valuation of the MON token fell from $4.7 billion to about $2.2 billion, reflecting the market’s lack of confidence in its continued ability to attract users.

MarketWhisper30m ago

Pi Network RPC server startup, supply pressure obstructs a technical rebound for PI

Pi Network announced that its testnet remote procedure call (RPC) servers are now live, laying the groundwork for building a smart contract ecosystem. Although this news is seen as a positive, the core team’s selling of more than 21.8 million PI tokens, along with the ongoing supply pressure stemming from user top-ups, has still exerted downside pressure on the market. Technical analysis shows that the support level for the PI token is $0.1736; the future price action needs to be closely watched.

MarketWhisper1h ago

A whale-led selloff is driving the Bitcoin market, and ETF institutional buy pressure is unable to turn the tide

A CryptoQuant report indicates that as of the end of March, Bitcoin’s “apparent demand” is -63,000 BTC, showing that the market has an oversupply situation, and institutional buying cannot offset retail selling. Starting in mid-2025, the giant whales began large-scale selling, pushing the market into a distribution phase. Although ETF institutional buying has increased, it has not been able to change the weak demand situation, and weakening domestic U.S. demand may further affect the market. Easing geopolitical tensions could become a catalyst for a short-term rebound.

MarketWhisper1h ago

BTC 15-minute drop of 0.73%: Technical support fails and on-chain congestion converges to suppress the rebound

From 2026-04-02 02:00 to 2026-04-02 02:15 (UTC), the BTC price fluctuated within the 66,858.6 - 67,355.0 USDT range. Over the 15 minutes, the return was -0.73%, and the amplitude reached 0.74%. During this period, market attention increased, short-term volatility intensified, and investors’ sentiment clearly shifted toward caution. The main driving force behind this abnormal move was that the key technical support level of $66,700 was broken, along with the RSI falling below 30, indicating that short-term momentum weakened rapidly and investors’ willingness to sell increased. Additionally, the market sentiment became more cautious, and trading volume showed signs of decline.

GateNews1h ago

The “crypto pullback” wave on April 1: Is it a joke or a warning sign from within the market?

On April 1, at least five influential figures in the cryptocurrency space simultaneously posted farewell messages, declaring that they were leaving the industry permanently. The posts quickly spread across X, creating a wave of confusion as the community couldn’t clearly tell where the serious statements ended.

TapChiBitcoin1h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments