The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in March before the non-farm payrolls announcement is 78.3%.

Odaily Planet Daily reports: According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 21.7%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 78.3%. The probability of the Fed cutting a total of 25 basis points by April is 35.7%, with a 58.9% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 5.4% chance of a total cut of 50 basis points. By June, the probability of a total cut of 25 basis points is 49%.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

People’s Bank of China: Continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy and increase the strength of counter-cyclical and cross-cycle adjustments

The People’s Bank of China convened a meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee to analyze the current global economic situation. The meeting emphasized the need to continue implementing a moderately accommodative monetary policy to respond to external shocks and promote steady economic growth and a reasonable rebound in prices.

GateNews24m ago

BTC 15-minute decline of 0.71%: ETF outflows and leveraged short positions intensify sell pressure

2026-03-31 08:30 to 08:45 (UTC), BTC’s return over 15 minutes fell by 0.71%, with the price fluctuating in the 66,820.0 to 67,318.9 USDT range, an amplitude of 0.74%. During this period, market sentiment was cautious; volatility increased, with significant trading volume on major exchanges and rising market attention. The primary drivers of this anomalous move were sustained outflows of large-scale ETF funds and a drop in liquidity caused by institutional investors reducing positions. In March 2026, the total ETF outflow exceeded $3 billion, and combined with this, large holders’ position share fell to 9 percent.

GateNews58m ago

Gold Plunges by the Largest Drop in 17 Years! Under the Impact of the Iran War, the Logic Behind Safe-Haven Assets Reverses

Due to the impact of the Middle East situation, the gold market has been extremely volatile, with this month’s expected decline reaching 14.6%. Even though Trump has signaled a more conciliatory stance, geopolitical conflicts have pushed up oil and gas prices, putting pressure on gold’s performance. Analysts believe that the outlook remains optimistic in the long and medium term, but in the short term, gold prices may face pullback pressure.

GateNews1h ago

SEC eases collateral rules: S&P 500 and Russell 1000 stocks can be used for securities lending

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has recently approved new rules allowing brokers to use S&P 500 and Russell 1000 constituent stocks as collateral in securities lending. This change gives institutional investors greater flexibility in capital deployment and is expected to improve market liquidity, potentially affecting the logic behind risk-asset pricing. How institutions adopt it in the future will be a key point to watch.

GateNews2h ago

A legislator brings up the Bitcoin and stablecoin reserve strategy again! Yang Chin-lung: My current position remains unchanged, but time and circumstances will change

Legislator Ko Ju-jun suggested adding Bitcoin and stablecoins to Taiwan’s foreign exchange reserves, emphasizing their potential advantages in a special geopolitical environment. The central bank governor, Yang Chin-lung, remains cautious on this, saying that the volatility risk makes Bitcoin unsuitable as a reserve asset, but acknowledging the possibility that “times and space will change.” Overall, in the short term, the plan to include these digital assets in foreign exchange reserves is difficult to implement.

CryptoCity2h ago

Crypto Markets Brace for 4 Key Events This Week, Beginning With Powell on Monday

Following a quiet weekend with little to no actual price moves, bitcoin and the altcoins could be primed for more fluctuations as the business week unfolds due to several big events in the US. Perhaps the two that are likely to attract the most attention will take place on Monday and

CryptoPotato2h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments