宏觀新聞與全球政策動態

Gate News 消息，據 Gate TradFi 最新數據，NAS100（納斯達克 100）瞬時下跌 1.5%，當前波動幅度明顯高於近期平均水平，市場活躍度上升。

Gate News 消息，據 Gate TradFi 最新數據，XBRUSD（布倫特原油UKOIL）瞬時上漲 6%，當前波動幅度明顯高於近期平均水平，市場活躍度上升。

Gate News bot message, according to AggrNews report, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved Nasdaq's rule changes, which aim to enable tokenized securities trading. This rule adjustment provides regulatory framework support for Nasdaq to conduct tokenized securities trading business.

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，美聯儲主席鮑威爾 3 月 19 日表示，絕大多數與會者不認為加息是基本情形。他指出，會議就利率可能存在的雙向風險進行了討論，下一步行動可能是加息的可能性確實被提及。

Gate News報導，3月18日，美聯儲主席鮑威爾3月19日表示，鑑於伊朗戰爭所帶來的不確定性，美聯儲最新一輪的經濟預測有點像是在瞎猜。鮑威爾稱：「對於這份經濟預測摘要，有很多人提到，如果我們要跳過一份預測摘要的話，這份就是最佳選擇，因為鑑於戰爭帶來的種種不確定性，我們根本無法預測未來會發生什麼。」

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，美国联邦储备系统（美国央行）主席鲍威尔于 3 月 19 日表示，如果在其任期结束时仍未确认新任美联储主席，他将担任临时主席。鲍威尔同时表示，在司法部调查结束前无意离开委员会，但尚未决定若司法部调查结束后是否会留任。

迦納的證券交易委員會剛剛採取行動。11家虛擬資產服務提供商於2026年3月10日獲得監管沙盒的準入資格。 迦納的證券交易委員會承認11家公司進入為期12個月的VASP Act 2025加密貨幣沙盒，為整個西非地區的完整數字資產許可奠定基礎。

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，美联储主席鲍威尔於 3 月 19 日表示，充分意識到一系列通膨衝擊已經中斷了此前的進展。他指出，未來通膨將受到一些因素的影響，而美聯儲能否忽視能源通膨，取決於能否成功遏制住商品通膨。

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，高盛多资产固定收益投资主管 Lindsay Rosner 于 3 月 19 日表示，尽管通胀预测上调，但美国联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）仍保留着宽松倾向。高盛仍然认为 2026 年有进行两次「正常化」降息的空间，尽管具体时机仍取决于冲突的持续时间。

Annex Wealth Management的首席经济学家Brian Jacobsen指出，美联储对油价变化的不确定性判断影响其经济预测，认为通胀上升对经济增长无实质性影响的判断可能过于乐观。他预计未来可能重复过去的模式，在经济冲击后美联储会意外并降息。

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，美联储公布 3 月 18 日利率决定，联邦基金利率目标区间上限为 3.75%，与市场预期一致，与前值持平。

Gate News reports that on March 18, the Federal Reserve's FOMC released a statement on March 19, with three changes compared to the January statement: First, adjustment to unemployment rate description, changing "unemployment rate has shown some signs of stabilization" to "unemployment rate has changed little in recent months"; Second, addition of Middle East situation-related statement, pointing out "the impact of Middle East developments on the U.S. economy remains uncertain"; Third, shift in stance by Federal Reserve Governor Waller, previously supporting a 25 basis point rate cut at the last meeting, now supporting keeping rates unchanged.

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，在 3 月 19 日的利率決議中，值得注意的是，沒有一位美聯儲政策制定者認為 2026 年年底利率需要進一步上調，不過有一位官員預計到 2027 年會加息一次。

Gate News report: On March 18, the Federal Reserve's FOMC released economic projections on March 19. Regarding GDP growth, the median projections for end of 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 2.4%, 2.3%, and 2.1% respectively, compared to previous December projections of 2.3%, 2.0%, and 1.9%. For PCE inflation (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index), the median projections for end of 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 2.7%, 2.2%, and 2.0% respectively, compared to previous December projections of 2.4%, 2.1%, and 2.0%.

Gate News Alert: On March 18, the dot plot released by the Federal Reserve on March 19 shows that 19 officials are divided on 2026 interest rate policy: 7 officials believe rates should remain unchanged throughout the year, 7 officials believe rates should be cut by a cumulative 25 basis points, 2 officials believe rates should be cut by a cumulative 50 basis points, 2 officials believe rates should be cut by a cumulative 75 basis points, and 1 official believes rates should be cut by a cumulative 100 basis points. Overall, the median of the dot plot indicates a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points in 2026.

Gate News, on March 18, the Federal Reserve's FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) issued a statement on March 19. Governor Miran dissented on this interest rate decision. Committee members passed this rate decision with an 11-1 vote, compared to a 10-2 vote at the previous meeting.

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，美联储于 3 月 19 日维持 2026 年降息一次、2027 年降息一次的预测。

Gate News Report: On March 18, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at this meeting is 0%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 98.9%, and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by April is 2.0%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 96.9%, and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 1.0%. By June, the probability of cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points is 16.3%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 82.5%, and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 0.9%.

Market analyst Jared Blikre pointed out that the global fund manager survey released by Bank of America shows that large institutional investors have increased their positions in emerging market stocks and commodities, while reducing their US dollar holdings. Powell's remarks have a significant impact on market trends; if the US dollar index breaks through 100, it will increase investment pressure, while the opposite would help emerging market development.

Gate News 消息，3 月 18 日，3 月 19 日，花旗銀行將某加密交易平台評級從中性下調至賣出，目標價從 13 美元下調至 5.5 美元，稱該平台實現盈利還需多年。此外，花旗同日宣布下調 BTC 未來 1 年目標價至 11.2 萬美元，ETH 目標價至 3175 美元。