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Breaking News
US Inflation Data Released
US inflation data for the (January 2026 CPI) period has been announced and came in below expectations – a positive development for the markets.
Brief summary of the figures:
Annual headline CPI → 2.4% (Expectations: 2.5%, previous: 2.7%) → Lowest level since May 2025.
Monthly change → +0.2% (Expectations: around 0.3%).
Core CPI (yearly) → 2.5% (close to expectations, slight decrease from previous 2.6%).
Inflation signals a soft landing toward the Fed’s 2% target.
Short-term market impact (general expectation):
Stocks (especially Nasdaq/tech) → ↑ Positiv
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⚠Today at 4:30 PM, how will the US inflation data announced impact the markets?
US inflation data (especially CPI) is one of the data points that creates the highest volatility in global financial markets. Its effect occurs through this basic mechanism:
Expectation: 2.5%
Why Does It React So Strongly?
1. The Fed's 2% inflation target remains the reference point. At the beginning of 2026, inflation is around 2.5–2.7% → still above the target.
2. Every 0.1–0.2 percentage point deviation can change the Fed's expected total interest rate cuts in 2026 by 25–50 basis points.
3. High inflation → borr
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It is not true that Russia is completely switching to the US dollar — this is an exaggeration.
According to the latest developments in February 2026, based on Bloomberg’s February 12 report:
• A leaked document from within the Kremlin suggests a possible agreement with the Trump administration, including a proposal to partially return to a dollar-based payment system within the scope of Ukraine peace talks.
• The idea of reusing the dollar in energy trade (oil/LNG) and international transactions is on the table.
• Goal: Lift sanctions, attract US companies to Russia, and gain economic
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The three main reasons for the sharp decline in the markets:
• Fed and Interest Rate Expectations:
The very strong non-farm payroll data in the US triggered fears that "the Fed will delay interest rate cuts." This strengthened the dollar index while hitting risky assets like (stocks and cryptocurrencies).
• Cryptocurrency Liquidation Wave:
Bitcoin losing the critical $70,000 support led to the liquidation of billions of dollars in leveraged trades. This situation deepened selling pressure with a snowball effect.
• Geopolitics and Inflation:
Tensions in the Middle East pushing oil prices higher
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GateUser-05cf0d15vip:
Happy New Year 🧨
Good morning...
The BIST started the day higher, the dollar is stable, gold has slightly declined. Iran-U.S. tensions are pushing oil to $70. Bitcoin is stuck around 67k in crypto.
The general market overview today is as follows levels approximately:
• USD/TRY: Around 43.65 TRY with sideways movement, small fluctuations within the 0.02-0.03% range.
• EUR/TRY: Slight upward trend around 51.95-52.00 TRY.
• BIST 100: Started the day with a slight increase, currently around 13,800-13,850 in the positive zone of 0.1-0.6%.
• Gold per Gram: Between 7,090-7,110 TRY, with gold spot price around 5,050-5
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📉 Why is gold falling?
On the ounce side, US data has diminished hopes of a rate cut → testing the 7,100 support level in gram TL. The dollar exchange rate is steady, and the stock market is making a slight recovery effort. Do you think this is a correction or an opportunity? #GramAltın #DolarTL
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Breaking News
The US employment data has been released, adding 130,000 new jobs. The expectation was around 65-75 thousand. The unemployment rate also dropped to 4.3%. This was a positive surprise, significantly above the December forecast of 50,000 new jobs.
The overall market impact can be summarized as follows:
- US stocks → Positive reaction, futures turned green, S&P/Dow slightly upward, generally negative overall.
- Dollar → Strengthening, USD index rising.
- Bond yields → Slight increase, recovery in 10-year yields.
- Gold → Under pressure, gold that was rising earlier is re
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🇺🇸 Eyes on U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data!
The postponed January data will be released today at 16:30 TSİ.
Expectations: +70K.
📉 Weak data: Increases expectations of a rate cut from the Fed, supports #Altın, #gold, #platinum.
📈 Strong data: Pushes the dollar index (DXY) higher, creates volatility and selling in U.S. stocks #Nasdaq ve #SPX500, negatively affecting gold, silver, and platinum.
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Why is Bitcoin falling?
The answer is simple: liquidity crisis and macro fears. As the Fed chairperson changes, the market is avoiding risk.
The cryptocurrency market has generally entered a bearish trend. In this regard, market participants see every rise as a selling opportunity.
Stay tuned.
#BTC #Cryptocurrency
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GateUser-1379e90dvip:
Did not mention the deeper underlying factors
Why are Gold, Silver, and Platinum rising? 🧐
1- US retail sales data came in weak (Recession fears).
2- Bond yields and the Dollar index are weakening.
3- Geopolitical tensions continue.
A good day for those holding in their basket of precious metals. 💰✨ #Gold #Silver #Platinum #Gold #Gümüş #Platinum
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Bitcoin is gaining momentum around the $70,000 mark. Long-term predictions in the $170,000 - $266,000 range from institutional players like (JPMorgan) are exciting, but currently the market is in a full liquidity battle. We are at a 'test' turning point where patience will be rewarded and short-term traders will be eliminated. 🚀
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto
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Palladium futures and ETFs are available in #Quanfury platformunda listelendi. Ayrıca diğer kıymetli metaller # gold #gümüş # platinum. They can be bought and sold with zero transaction costs.
#palladium #ETF #XPDUSD
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After the sharp 2.3% increase in Borsa Istanbul yesterday, there is an attempt to stabilize around 13,850 today. While global appetite remains strong, led by technology stocks, domestic industrial production and external US retail sales data could increase volatility. Continuing cautious optimism. 📈 #BIST100 #Stock Exchange
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Today, we are observing a nearly 3% pullback in silver; the ratio is once again trying to shift back in favor of gold. While BNP Paribas's target of $6,000 for gold sounds ambitious, geopolitical risks and central bank purchases keep this fire alive. Short-term corrections do not disrupt the long-term trend. ⚖️
#Altın #Silver #Silver
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While the markets are waiting for data, everyone has pulled back to a corner. 📊 What is your favorite trading area today?
1️⃣ Istanbul Stock Exchange (BIST)
2️⃣ Cryptocurrencies
3️⃣ Precious Metals (Gold/Silver)
4️⃣ Waiting in Cash/Foreign Exchange
5️⃣ US Stocks (Nasdaq/SPX500)
I look forward to your answers below! 👇
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My new video about the latest market situation is live, everyone...
#Altın #Bitcoin #Borsa #Dollar #Gümüş #Bist100 #Ethereum #Quantfury #FED #Nasdaq #spx500 #SPX #dxy #US10Y #Faiz #CBRT
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Weekly Market Outlook:
✅ Gold and Silver: Bulls are taking control.
⚠️ Bitcoin: Trying to recover in critical support zones.
📉 US Dollar Index: Slight pullback risks are supporting risk assets.
Gold: At $5,040, it’s at the highest point of the past week. China's purchases and uncertainties regarding the Fed are supporting gold.
BIST: Staying above 13,500 is crucial for the continuation of the trend.
Crypto: Bitcoin dipped below $70,000 but saw some rebound in the morning hours. $68,500 is an important pivot point.
Without a strategy, you lose your way in choppy waters. Wishing everyone profit
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Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi of Japan has achieved a historic electoral victory, establishing herself as the country's most powerful leader.\nThe LDP secured 316 seats in the lower house with a majority of two-thirds, out of 465 seats, thus having a higher representation rate in the lower house than all other parties in Japan.\nThe qualified majority in the House of Representatives will facilitate her coalition's passage of laws and will bring the controversial constitutional amendment issue back to the agenda.\nTakaichi's trade momentum has gained speed. Futures markets started the day posit
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In this video, I analyze the potential impacts of the political change in Japan on your wallet and the possible outcomes of the critical US inflation/employment data to be announced this week with technical analyses.⏩#Ekonomi #TakaichiRally #Altın #Silver #Bitcoin #IstanbulStockExchange #Dolar #Japan #TeknikAnaliz #Investment #SiyasetEkonomi #Inflation #Fed #Cryptocurrency #Quantfury
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CHINA HAS DECLARED WAR ON CRYPTOCURRENCIES!!🔸Cryptocurrencies will no longer be legally recognized as "money".🔸Any transaction related to cryptocurrencies will be considered a crime.🔸Foreign organizations will also no longer be able to conduct cryptocurrency transactions in China.#Bitcoin #cryptocurrency
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