$BTC post-FOMC gameplan.
Bitcoin rejected ~$94,000 resistance for the 4th time, and like I said yesterday, it brought us back to the start impulse.
If we lose the ~$89,800 start impulse here, I'll try to short the continuation to the ~$87,600 support box (take out the low).
When we arrive in the support box, I'll be looking for longs after clear reversals.
~$91,500 is where we have a break of structure, and is a resistance level. When we test it, I'll look for shorts after the failure or longs after the gain.
If we gain ~$91,900 (top resistance box), longs are triggered to the key ~$94,000 reg

#Bitcoin and #Ethereum have 20 days to close the year in the green.

#Bitcoin Cycle Anatomy Is Repeating And the Chart Isn’t Lying
The 3-Week Donchian Basis has mapped every major $BTC cycle for 15 years and this chart shows we’re approaching the same structural breakdown zone that preceded every historical bear phase.
The Donchian Basis is a cycle boundary marker. When price loses it on the 3W timeframe, the market historically shifts from distribution → decline
We’re now at the same inflection point.
The next 4–6 months may decide whether we get a euphoric blow-off… or the first cracks of the next macro downtrend.
Stay alert. Protect capital. Read the cycles

$BTC | Additional Context
The next FOMC meeting is December 9–10th. I expected this entire retracement and opened short positions at 92K.
We also have a new monthly open. Usually a area where we can form the early month pivot for trend direction. We still have about a week to go, which means there’s room for additional downside liquidity hunts. However, the broader expectation is a move upward heading into FOMC.
As for where that pre FOMC high will form, that’s impossible to call. What matters most is timing and execution once key levels are tested. From here, BTC will either establish a hig

$BTC
Next week is monthly close.
4/5 times, BTC pumped 5-7% to the upside.
This makes perfect sense given we are anticipating a rally into FOMC. (I stated this at 86.7K).
This means that 10-14TH is going to pivot trend depending on narrative into FOMC.

$BTC The price is now testing a key lost high-timeframe support range, the same bottoming formation from December 2024 and the January–February base. As I’ll cover in my upcoming update, this is an important test.
Because of this, I believe the best approach is to stay somewhat cautious on the low-timeframes.
We could still see a rejection here, and if that happens, I’ll scale back into the hedges I trimmed once the high-timeframe support range in blue, the early-April bottoming formation, got tested.
Going forward, the setup is simple: the on-chain data, Velo data, and funding rates all poin

The bear trap just snapped shut. Funding rates do not lie.
On Nov 24 $BTC funding flipped negative at minus 0.0033% for the first time in a month.
Translation: the herd got scared, shorted the bottom, and paid the market to take their money.
Now we are back to neutral at 0.0023 percent.
The foam is gone. The shorts are trapped. The path of least resistance is up.
This is the cleanest entry signal you will get all quarter.

🚨 $BTC Coinbase Premium Just Flipped Deeply NegativeU.S. spot demand is evaporating the Coinbase Premium Index has plunged into its lowest negative zone of the entire cycle.When Coinbase trades at a discount, it often signals persistent sell pressure from U.S. participants and a lack of aggressive dip-buying.Premium has stayed below zero for weeks a rare sustained imbalance.Historically, extended negative premiums have aligned with fearful local bottoms or the early stages of deeper macro downtrends.Price action continues to struggle below key liquidity levels as U.S. spot weakness drags the

$BTC CME closed at 91,083.
Currently we have a $500+ gap. I usually do not target gaps over the weekend, I wait for Late sunday/Monday.
We have filled every weekend gap in the past 6 months.

$BTC My current plan:
We’re pricing in rate cuts too quickly, which suggests the market is likely to slow down. At this point, price action almost needs to range or show some downside.
We still have two weeks until FOMC, leaving plenty of time for the market to chop. Probabilistically, it makes more sense for momentum to cool off, especially since most of this week’s upward move already played out.
Given that, there’s a strong possibility that we simply chop into Monday, set a Monday high (next week), and then retrace back below 90K toward the 88K area. In other words, we might just keep osci

$BTC The longer this consolidation lasts, the greater the likelihood we take out the highs before moving down to the imbalance at 88.5K.
Either re-accumulation or distribution on the LTF here.
‍#JoinGrowthPointsDrawToWiniPhone17 #ReboundTokenstoWatch

// Bitcoin + new altcoin plays (ltf update)
/ $BTC
And we Jim Cramered the whole bounce from yesterday back down lol.
Zone still holding, and like I said yesterday, more chop in the deviation zone wouldn’t invalidate this as a bounce area.
> Still holding deviation: either a small dip or can even sweep the local low.
> Extreme case but still holding: quick dip into 100k/mid-range zone and bounce back up.
But if we start closing heavy Daily + candles down there, I'll turn short/medium term cautious. (invalidation short-term bullishness)
Still absolutely leaning towards this deviation zone t

🚨 Ethereum drama + praise in one week
$ETH ecosystem is buzzing again - this time with both love and criticism. Vitalik just gave huge props to Polygon, calling their ZK-EVM work one of the biggest wins for Ethereum scaling. He also praised Sandeep Nailwal for actually using crypto for social good, not just profit.
But at the same time, core developers like Péter Szilágyi (Geth) and Andre Cronje are ringing alarm bells - saying the Ethereum Foundation is getting too centralized and not supporting long-time builders.
Can Ethereum keep innovating without drifting into soft centralization? Becau

📉 #Bitcoin ETFs Hit 4th Straight Day of Outflows—But Don't Panic Yet 📉
‍#BTC ETFs just saw another $40 million leave on October 20, marking four days in a row of withdrawals. #BlackRock 's IBIT led the exits with $101 million pulling out. But here's the twist: VanEck's HODL and Bitwise's BITB actually saw inflows of $21 million and $12 million. Some investors are cashing out gains while others are buying the dip.
The big picture? Total ETF assets still sit at $149 billion—nearly 7% of Bitcoin's entire market cap. This looks like healthy profit-taking after $BTC huge run, not a loss of faith.

$170,000,000,000 has been wiped out from the crypto market today!
$BTC plunges to $104k , dragging the entire market deep into red.
Altcoins bleed across the board, Is this capitulation or the perfect dip-buying opportunity?

#BTC 📉 A warning was already shared in the private group. This move mainly impacts leveraged traders, not spot holders.
The setup looks quite similar to previous patterns. If you’ve prepared for this kind of scenario, there’s no reason to panic.
If the current support breaks, it simply means price needs to dip lower to find stronger support or a springboard for the next leg up.
The journey from $3,000 to $125,000 was never a straight line up. This is just another chapter in that story.$BTC $ETH $GT

$ETH 📉 I trusted OBV when the price was rising, and I’ll trust it again when it’s falling. Thanks to it, I’ve been able to take profits strategically on every entry.
Just like before, when the downward momentum cools off, you can re-enter. A break doesn’t always mean a full trend reversal, only a short-term correction. ⚖️

// $CORE (update)
Finally there, and it's getting tight. Would like to see a sweep of these lows followed by a reclaim.
Looking initially at the upper part of the stage 3 range, and eventually for a reclaim of the macro range low.
Still interested in Bitcoin DeFi with my Bitcoin outlook and treasury firms stepping in. Curious if they'll want to put their Bitcoin to work.
Collaborated with CORE earlier this year on an educational write-up, feel free to check it out here;