There are three very critical time points in December, and the market movement over the next three weeks will basically revolve around these three events. Let me briefly summarize them for you:
First: December 11, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Originally, the market expected that there would be no rate cut in December, but now the probability of a rate cut has been hyped up to around 87%.
Second: December 19, the Bank of Japan interest rate decision. The market had always believed that the Bank of Japan would not raise rates in December, but earlier this week, the governor sudden

#比特币对比代币化黄金 At 3 a.m. on December 11, this time could become the watershed moment for this year’s financial markets. The Fed’s upcoming interest rate decision doesn’t just affect the trajectory of gold; it has a ripple effect on the pricing of all risk assets.
Currently, the market has already fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut. What could truly make waves are the subtle changes in wording within the decision statement, as well as Powell’s off-the-cuff remarks at the press conference—these details often serve as the spark for major market moves.
Right now, gold is consolidating at high

#美SEC促进加密资产创新监管框架 Looked through BTC's monthly-level pullback data from the past few years and found some interesting patterns.
A healthy pullback in a bull market usually falls within the 30%-40% range. If it’s really turning bearish, it tends to crash right through 50%. Right now, we’re down 36% from the top, which honestly is still within the safe boundary. The more crucial factor is time—the normal adjustment cycle starts at three months, and we're only halfway through that.
So, for the next month or so, there’s a high probability we'll keep consolidating, with the main battleground repeat

In the past day, DOGE has been stirring things up again.
The price looks lukewarm—$0.1491, down 0.75%, but with a trading volume of $1.24 billion and a market cap over $24 billion, this dog is proving resilient. The real action is on-chain: big players have quietly scooped up 480 million DOGE in the past couple of days, equivalent to $71.8 million. Note, this isn’t contract gambling; it’s solid spot accumulation.
This move pushed the price up to $0.1534, a 2.5% rebound, nearly breaking above the 23-day moving average. The futures side is even crazier—on one platform, DOGE contract volume surge

📊 Morning of December 4, Bitcoin #BTC Latest Market Update
Bitcoin has successfully achieved a V-shaped reversal, rebounding strongly from the December 1 low near $83,800 and reaching above $94,000 at its peak. This rally has improved daily technical indicators, with the MACD forming a golden cross, and the price climbing back above the 100-hour simple moving average. However, the overall market sentiment remains cautious, with the Fear and Greed Index at 28, placing it in the "Fear" zone. The main drivers behind this movement include expectations of future Fed rate cuts, renewed institution

Why did the yen interest rate hike affect the crypto world?
Because in the past few years, the cheapest money in the world has been in Japan. Many institutions and large players first borrow yen at extremely low interest rates, convert it into US dollars, and then leverage into Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various altcoins to speculate. This operation is called "yen arbitrage trading," with a scale that is astonishing, with two to three percent of the funds flowing into crypto. In simple terms: the bull market in the crypto world over the past few years has been supported by cheap money from

Virtual Money is not currency and is not allowed to circulate domestically.
It means:
Don't think that the domestic market will lift the ban; it's impossible in the short term. Because once it's lifted, it opens the door for capital outflow. So this is just to tell everyone: "Don't hold any illusions." "Businesses related to Virtual Money are all illegal financial activities."
That means doing these things domestically:
Development, operation, maintenance, community, events, conferences...
All belong to "illegal".
But the reality is:
As long as you don’t act high-profile, don’t

Tomorrow is another critical Node — Fed Chairman Powell is set to speak. Last time he spoke, Bitcoin took a Plummet, and this time the market will have to follow his rhythm again.
The market is now betting in two directions:
If he emphasizes that inflation has not yet been suppressed and implies that interest rate cuts will be delayed, then the crypto market is likely to be under pressure. After all, when liquidity expectations tighten, risk assets struggle.
But if he shifts his tone and says that the economic slowdown needs attention and that the pace of interest rate cuts may be maintained,

On November 30, #香港稳定币监管框架 , DOGE delivered an intriguing report card.
The price has been relatively stable, hovering around $0.15, with a slight drop of 0.3% over the past 24 hours. However, trading volume has exploded — $1.132 billion, a daily increase of 23.4%. This "price remains stable while volume leads" signal is well understood by seasoned traders: it’s either a washout or funds are quietly positioning themselves. The RSI is at 42.5, in the neutral zone, but the fear and greed index has dropped to 25, indicating extremely conservative market sentiment.
The institutions are indeed takin

#ETH巨鲸增持 is still watching whether to enter a position in Bitcoin? Perhaps the concern should not be that the price is too high, but that it is simply impossible to buy any coin.
The latest on-chain data has revealed an astonishing fact: governments around the world collectively hold 521,540 BTC, which, based on the current price of $91,407, means this batch of state-held assets has exceeded $4.76 billion in value. More importantly, this number accounts for 2.48% of the total Bitcoin supply—sounds like not much? But it’s important to note that the BTC available for trading in the circulation

As the end of the month approaches, the market continues to maintain a fluctuating upward trend. Although slow, there is vitality. It has successfully broken through 90,000, and there are a few key signals coming up:
1. There is not much room for decline in the next 3-5 days, as the daily chart shows the first golden cross. There is an upward demand that is likely to last at least 3 to 4 days.
2. The sell-off by BlackRock has shifted from pure selling to buying more and selling less.
Therefore, in the coming days, we can still focus on buying on dips! However, it is important to pay attention

Almost all successful traders, while realizing their own value through trading, adhere to three iron rules:
First, the underlying logic of trading is to set stop-losses at critical positions and take a chance. Those who can understand this sentence must have used a large number of trading patterns before realizing that the four words 'critical positions' are the core of trading, rather than randomly entering the market.
Secondly, understand human nature and respond to emergencies through risk control and stop-loss strategies. Most of the technical methods we learn can lead to profit, b

BTC testing the key level of $88,000, is the Fed's interest rate cut expectation a catalyst for recovery?
The Bitcoin market has recently shown signs of recovery, with prices gradually rising from last week's low of below $82,000, currently hovering around $87,500. This rebound is mainly driven by renewed market expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in December. Although there was a pullback after encountering resistance at the $88,000 level, overall sentiment has improved compared to earlier.
If we break down this market cycle, we find that altcoins have lost t

#比特币波动性 Bitcoin has fallen from 126000 all the way down to 80000 in this round. Which side are you on? Short positions are making money by following the trend, while long positions are stubbornly enduring the fall and getting hit. This is the true depiction of following the trend and going against the trend.
What are the benefits of following the big trend? The win rate is there. Entering the market on the right side, with a clear direction and controllable risk, you don't have to guess the top or gamble on the bottom. But don't forget, the market doesn't show mercy. Even the stro

Recently, Bitcoin has been continuously falling, once dropping below the 90,000 mark, and the market's harvesting and whipsawing has been very thorough. If it weren't for spot trading, most people would have been whipsawed out of their positions! The more it falls, the more you should dare to continue increasing your position if you believe Bitcoin has a future! The whole world follows patterns, let alone a market created by humans. A big pump will definitely come after a big dump, and after a big dump, there will definitely be a big pump. Right now, we are at a market turning point th

After the transaction, if you experience any of the following three changes, it likely indicates that you are on the right path.
First, learn to wait like a hunter; a single wait in the market can eliminate 90% of people. You won't watch the market every day, nor will you engage in the hard and frequent buying and selling, much less constantly analyze and guess how tomorrow's candlestick will move, because you have already developed the patience of a hunter. The market will always present the patterns you are most familiar with and align with your buying signals.
Second, you no longer

As the saying goes, nothing ventured, nothing gained. Since it has come to this, it is indeed a good thing. Rather than taking two steps forward and three steps back, it's better to fall all at once. The sentiment in the crypto world has always been about quick entries and exits, playing it straight. When it rises, it often refuses to pull back, moving forward without looking back. When it falls, it naturally follows the same logic, without a rebound, reaching the bottom in one go. Currently, it is only the case that the sentiment in the crypto world is showing signs of hitting the bottom.

#加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH
1. BTC Institutional Price Structure Analysis and Strategy
1. Taking BTC/USDT perpetual contracts as an example, continuing the previous viewpoint, the short-term support and resistance level is 86602. Below this level, we continue to be bearish, with the bearish side initially completing the mid-term target theoretical value of 86230. In terms of operational strategy, based on the "Institutional Strong Turning Point Model" (for a detailed explanation of this model, you can follow the "K-line Digital Code" and watch the live video later), the main strategy is to go long on d

Yesterday, after BTC broke 9 and ETH broke 3, they are trying to brew a Rebound. What is very strange is that while the US stock market continues to plummet, the crypto world did not follow the US stock market in continuing to fall; instead, it began to lead the market higher.
1. BTC briefly fell below 90,000 USD, with major support at 85,000. If volatility continues to expand and we encounter unexpected events, there is a possibility of further price retracement. However, as long as sentiment gradually stabilizes, we are close to a phase bottom range.
2. The super liquidation wave in October

Give some advice to the babes still struggling in the market.
First: The profits you earn must be kept safe.
Don't always think about catching the highest point. When you buy a coin and it rises by 10%, you need to be alert. If the price returns to your buying point, don't hesitate, sell immediately. If you've made a 20% profit, lock in half of it, even if it eventually rises higher, you won't regret it. If you've made a 30% profit, at least hold on to 15%. You don't need to judge the peak, you just need to let the profits roll in by themselves. Relying on discipline is