Polymarket predicts that the trading volume for today's 21:00 League of Legends match between BLG and BFX will reach 986,000 USD. Major accounts betting on BLG's victory have respectively purchased 100,000 and 90,000 shares. The International Pioneer Championship features 8 teams in total, with matches using a BO5 format.

March 16 News: Prediction market Polymarket shows that bets on "U.S. military will not enter Iran before April" have surged significantly, with someone investing $83,600 to successfully raise the probability to 73%. Trump plans to establish an international coalition to ensure the security of the Strait of Hormuz; however, Gulf countries deny providing support for military operations. Despite Iran's attacks on Israel and U.S. military bases, the United States' response remains focused on maintaining freedom of navigation through the strait.

On March 16th, two Hyperliquid traders, Paul Wei and 100% Win Rate Low Drawdown, reached consensus on the profit-taking zone for BTC long positions, with the target set at $78,000. The former set take-profit orders in the $75,000 to $81,000 range, while the latter has pending orders in place. The two traders adopted different position-adding strategies and leverage choices, profiting amid volatility through pyramid position management.

On March 16, Polymarket data showed that an investor bet on a US-Iran ceasefire before July with an 88% win rate. Trump and US officials expressed skepticism toward negotiations, while Iran's foreign minister insisted they are not seeking a ceasefire. Oman and Egypt are attempting to restart communications, but the White House has not yet responded.

Gate News reports that on March 16, a prediction platform's event odds for "Oppenheimer to Win the Oscar for Best Picture" surged to 91% in a short time, with a 24-hour gain of 34%, and trading volume exceeding 3 million dollars. The 98th Academy Awards ceremony officially began at 8:00 AM Beijing time, with the entire ceremony lasting approximately 4 hours. The Oscar for Best Picture will be announced as the final award at around 11:10 AM.

Political market data shows that a certain address bet on the United States and Iran reaching a ceasefire before May, with current odds at 39.5%. The U.S. demands Iran cease attacks, warning that if Iran cuts energy supplies, it will face strong retaliation. Iran's new leader emphasizes maintaining stability and demands the U.S. halt military operations. This trader may be conducting swing trades based on evolving geopolitical developments.

On March 13, an investor wagered $3,700 on the Polymarket platform, betting that the United States will escort commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz by early April. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that escort operations will be based on military conditions and international coalition cooperation, requiring air superiority to be established first. The trader may be executing a short-term profit-taking or stop-loss strategy.

On March 12, PolyBeats detected two high-win-rate addresses betting on prediction markets that "the US and Iran will not cease fire before May," with a combined investment of $15,000 at a current price of 52.5¢. Meanwhile, Iran escalated attacks on Gulf shipping, causing a halt to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, with analysts seeing no signs of de-escalation.

According to Polymarket data, on March 12th, an address placed a $4,900 bet that "Trump will announce the cessation of military operations against Iran before May." This bet is based on statements from Trump and the U.S. government, with the end of the war being decided by them. Oil prices surged due to Iran's attack on supply chains. The trader's behavior indicates that they are not betting on the actual occurrence of the event.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, the whale address pension-usdt.eth has been continuously shorting BTC and ETH, while going long on crude oil, with holdings reaching 1,000 BTC and 8,950 ETH. Since March 1, it has gained approximately $27 million with an 85% win rate.