Gate News bot message, a newly created Polymarket wallet named “dfhgdhfthrfhr” placed a $180,000 bet wagering that the United States will not conduct a military strike on Iran by March 4, 2026. The wallet was established specifically for this prediction market position.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Two Kalshi early core members founded 5c(c) Capital, with participation from two major prediction market CEOs and a16z founder
5c(c) Capital, founded by two former Kalshi employees, is raising $35 million for its first fund, focusing on investing in prediction market infrastructure. Multiple industry heavyweights, including the CEOs of Kalshi and Polymarket as well as a16z founders, have become early investors. Despite challenges facing prediction markets, the fund views it as a "generational investment opportunity."
ChainNewsAbmedia1h ago
Kalshi Early Employees Build Prediction Market VC Fund 5c(c) Capital, Targeting $35 Million in Fundraising
On March 23rd, Kalshi early employees Adhi Rajaprabhakaran and Noah Zingler-Sternig are raising up to $35 million for a new venture capital fund 5c(c) Capital, focused on prediction market startups. The fund plans to invest in approximately 20 companies over the next two years, with the first close to be completed within a month.
GateNews2h ago
Polymarket "crude oil reaches $90 before end of March" probability rises to 82%, intraday gain of 67%
Polymarket shows the probability of crude oil reaching $90 by the end of March has risen to 82%, while the probability of reaching $100 has fallen to 36%. Trump mentioned that Iran may no longer develop nuclear weapons and the Strait of Hormuz could be subject to multi-party control, which could lead to oil price volatility. Market uncertainty regarding the Middle East situation has caused divergence in oil price expectations.
GateNews2h ago
Polymarket Updates Market Integrity Rules, Clearly Prohibits Three Categories of Insider Trading and Market Manipulation
Polymarket updated its DeFi platform and U.S. exchange market integrity rules on March 23rd, prohibiting insider trading and fraudulent conduct, and established a multi-layered monitoring system. Violators may face account suspension and fines.
GateNews2h ago
A certain address bet approximately $100,000 on "the United States will not enter Iran before March 31"
Polymarket prediction event shows a new address purchased approximately $100,000 in "No" position at 88.4¢, with current unrealized gains of around $70. This event is affected by the evolution of the US-Iran situation. As Trump delays military strikes, Iran denies negotiations, and the regional situation remains uncertain.
GateNews3h ago
