The upcoming US employment report is regarded by the market as an important macro variable influencing short-term crypto trends. As investors bet on the US economy “cooling down but not slipping into recession,” mainstream crypto assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana are under close watch.
According to the US economic calendar, the December non-farm payrolls data will be released on Friday. The market generally expects US job additions to slow to about 73,000, with the unemployment rate possibly easing slightly from 4.6% in November to 4.5%. Although the number of new jobs is higher than the previous figure, the overall cooling trend in the labor market is quite clear, which is often interpreted as a relatively risk-friendly signal.
The previously released JOLTS job openings data also reinforced this expectation. The data shows US job openings have fallen to about 7.1 million, significantly below the market expectation of 7.6 million, reflecting weakening hiring demand from companies. Historical experience indicates that a softening labor market often boosts market expectations for the Federal Reserve to slow down tightening or even cut rates, which is a key macro backdrop driving strength in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Currently, the cryptocurrency market is at the intersection of technicals and sentiment. The overall market cap has fallen back to approximately $3.08 trillion, with short-term pressure evident. Bitcoin is oscillating around $90,000, a level considered a critical psychological and technical resistance. If the employment report reinforces easing expectations, Bitcoin may regain upward momentum; conversely, if the data is relatively strong, short-term correction risks remain.
Ethereum has declined about 4% in the past 24 hours, XRP has fallen to around $2.11, with a single-day drop exceeding 7%. Solana, although still maintaining about a 9% weekly gain, has also experienced a short-term pullback, indicating cautious capital behavior ahead of macro data releases.
Overall, the US employment report could serve as an important trigger for short-term market movements. If the data confirms a cooling trend in the labor market, mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana may see a window for sentiment recovery and increased volatility. For investors, the resonance between macro data and key price levels may determine the next phase of market direction.
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