Ether made a significant loss at the end of Q4 2025. The quarter ended down 28.28%. This was after months of volatility. There was continued strong selling pressure at the end of the year. There was a loss of market sentiment. Crypto Rover provided a quarterly returns chart. This chart was based on Coinglass statistics. It monitored the Ethereum performance between the year 2016 and 2026. The focus was on red Q4 periods. All the cases had a similar tendency.
Historical Pattern AF Post Red Q4
There have been several red Q4s of Ethereum. These occurred in 2016, 2018, 2019, and 2022. Q1 became positive in all instances. Greater gains were experienced in Q2. Average Q1 gains reached 139%. Q2 averaged 158%. Q1 2026 is already on the positive path. ETH is up 6.57% so far. The purchasing power has come back slowly. The confidence in the market is regaining. Continuation is under observation by traders.Continuation Selling at the end of a year is known to create corrections. Tax harvesting plays a role. Rebalancing of portfolios puts strain. After Q4, the liquidity will be better. Risk appetite comes back during the initial months.
Bullish Prognosis
Past evidence is in favor of hope. Patterns favor upside. Nevertheless, results are not certain. The sentiment may be affected by regulation. Economic changes on the macro level may cause a drag. There are outside shocks which are still possible. The traders reacted in a positive manner. Holders in the long-term are confirmed. Short-term traders are still on the lookout. Others are awaiting the growth of volume. Etherium has a history of post-red Q4 recoveries. The trend in past cycles is bullish in Q1 and Q2. The trend is confirmed by early 2026 statistics. Nevertheless, it is external factors that do count. ETH is still one to be followed.
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