2月27日消息，链上分析师Willy Woo近日发出警告，称比特币价格或将面临深度回调，熊市阶段的核心目标或指向4.5万美元区域。他指出，尽管BTC可能短线反弹至7.5万美元并横盘整理约一个月，但该区间难以稳固，现货与期货流动性同步走弱，成为压制行情的关键变量。
截至发稿，比特币报约6.78万美元，日内小幅下跌。链上数据平台Glassnode指出，7万美元附近存在明显获利了结压力，在当前市场深度不足的背景下，小规模抛售也可能放大价格波动。
在比特币价格走势分析框架下，Woo将4.5万美元视为本轮熊市的基准底部区间，并认为该位置可能触发显著抄底需求。若全球宏观环境进一步恶化，他提及3万美元将成为下一道重要支撑，而1.6万美元则是长期牛市结构的最后防线。Woo强调，自2009年至2026年，比特币始终运行在全球宏观扩张周期中，一旦这一大环境逆转，市场将承受前所未有的压力。
对于复苏时间表，Woo预计熊市动能或在2026年第四季度减弱，2027年第一或第二季度有望重启上行周期。资深交易员Peter Brandt则给出4.2万美元的潜在目标，与200周均线位置重合。部分市场人士关注5.4万美元作为阶段性下行参考。
不过，Matt Hougan持相对乐观态度，认为抛压正在消退，市场或已进入筑底阶段，未来仍存在刷新历史高点的可能。在多空分歧加剧之际，比特币价格预测成为投资者关注焦点，4.5万美元与7万美元区间或将决定中期趋势方向。
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