#特朗普加密货币政策新方向 【Dual Crisis Approaching, BTC Stuck in Range-Bound at High Levels】
Recently, the global market has been a bit unstable. Over in Russia, Putin's stance on the US-Ukraine peace proposal is quite subtle—he said it can be discussed, but if the conditions are not right, they will continue fighting; on this side of the Atlantic, Trump announced that he wants to shift Venezuela's anti-drug operations from the sea to the land, and also strengthen military presence in the Caribbean. With two fronts becoming tense at the same time, funds are beginning to reassess risk costs, and market sentiment has instantly switched to a defensive posture.
The crypto market has directly felt the shockwave.
Bitcoin is now stuck in a very awkward position - it just can't get past the hurdle of $91,000. Bulls want to push it up, while bears are holding firm, causing the price to oscillate repeatedly at high levels. Looking upwards, this position has accumulated a lot of high-leverage long positions, which might trigger a chain liquidation at any moment; looking down, the $89,000 to $88,000 range is a key support zone, and if it can't hold, the $86,000 mid-term bull-bear boundary might have to face a test.
According to the analysis from a leading exchange, the current market is being pulled in four directions simultaneously: geopolitical risks are being repriced, increasing risk aversion; technical resistance is forming at $91,000; expectations of a potential easing of monetary policy bring a glimmer of hope; and weakening employment data adds to economic uncertainty. These intertwined factors are making the market situation exceptionally complex.
In simple terms, what determines the market direction now is no longer K-line patterns or technical indicator breakthroughs. The key is to look at two things: will these geopolitical conflicts really cool down? Are funds willing to re-accept volatility risk?
When geopolitical factors replace central bank policies as the dominant variables in the market, the reference value of technical analysis diminishes significantly. At this stage, controlling risks is more important than chasing returns. Please give a thumbs up for support.
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