Regarding the medium-term trend of Ripple (XRP), the market is once again showing bullish signals. Cryptocurrency analyst Bird pointed out that the structural changes in Bitcoin market dominance (BTC Dominance) are recreating the historical pattern that has repeatedly driven XRP to surge significantly in the past. XRP may be on the verge of a new strong rally.
Bird reviewed that during 2018, 2021, and 2024, three major upward movements of XRP occurred after Bitcoin market share weakened significantly. In 2018, this trend directly pushed XRP to a new all-time high; similarly, in 2021, after Bitcoin market share retreated from its high, XRP also experienced a parabolic rise.
Entering 2024, Bitcoin market share briefly broke below the long-term trendline, prompting XRP to rapidly surge. However, due to Bitcoin’s subsequent rebound, this rally was short-lived. Nevertheless, even this “unconfirmed” pullback was enough to push XRP to refresh its stage high.
From a longer cycle perspective, between 2023 and 2025, Bitcoin market share continued to rise, and after recently breaking below the upward trendline, it experienced a rebound. Bird believes that the current position closely overlaps with the area before XRP’s main upward wave in history, and the structural strength of this cycle is significantly higher than previous ones.
He further pointed out that if Bitcoin market share breaks below the trendline and confirms a downtrend, the target zone could drop to 40%–44%. Once this scenario materializes, XRP is not only expected to strengthen but may also enter a true price discovery phase, with potential for a breakout into double digits.
From the market perspective, XRP’s current price mainly operates within the $2.12 to $2.14 range, a clear pullback from the December 2025 high of about $3.20, but it still remains above key support levels. Technical indicators show the market is in a consolidation phase, with the 14-week RSI around 44–45, indicating neutral momentum; MACD is in the negative zone but the histogram is flattening, suggesting downward pressure is weakening.
On-chain data from Cryptoquant shows that since mid-December, whale inflows into major liquidity channels like Gate have significantly decreased. Currently, whales account for about 60.3% of total XRP inflows, while retail investors make up 39.7%. As large holder activity declines, no significant retail accumulation has occurred, indicating that short-term selling pressure is naturally easing.
Overall, XRP is entering a re-accumulation phase after a rapid rally and correction. The market direction still depends on further confirmation of Bitcoin market share, but historical signals suggest XRP may be near a critical turning point.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Swan Bitcoin诉讼升级：Tether 挖矿纠纷牵出Cantor Fitzgerald 与 Howard Lutnick
The dispute over Bitcoin mining in the United States continues to escalate, with Swan Bitcoin filing for evidence in the New York court to obtain proof related to Tether. The controversy stems from the breakdown of the partnership between Swan and the joint venture 2040 Energy with Tether, accusing internal executives of misconduct. Meanwhile, Cantor Fitzgerald and its CEO are also involved, with potential links to funds and interests. The case could impact Bitcoin mining models and the stablecoin ecosystem.
GateNews11m ago
Over $14 billion in options expiry looming! Bitcoin drops below $70,000, with $75,000 becoming a key battleground.
Bitcoin was pressured by a large-scale options expiration on March 27, 2026, causing the price to fall below $70,000, with a low of $69,990. The expiration of options contracts led to price volatility, especially around $75,000, while macro factors such as geopolitical risks and developments in crypto ETFs also influenced market sentiment. Technical analysis shows Bitcoin remains in an upward trend, with a short-term key range of $69,000 to $71,000.
GateNews27m ago
Pi Network (PI) ends 7 months of silence: volatility surges + negative correlation, Bitcoin's rise actually becomes a bearish signal?
Pi Network (PI) has experienced 7 months of low-volatility compression, leading to a clear change in market structure, with the current price around $0.1883. Recent volatility has rebounded above 100%, indicating a new phase in the market, but its rebound potential may be limited by its negative correlation with Bitcoin. Technical analysis shows a potential double-top pattern; if the price drops below $0.1894, it could fall to $0.1527. Short-term trends will be influenced by technical structures and changes in its correlation with Bitcoin.
GateNews30m ago
Bitcoin ETF Flows Reverse in March: 38,000 BTC Accumulated as Whales Buy Big – Analysis
_Bitcoin ETF flows reverse after a brutal February. Whales are buying, retail is selling. Here’s what on-chain data says about BTC now._
Bitcoin has been flashing mixed signals in March 2026.
ETF flows are recovering after a brutal February sell-off. At the same time, on-chain data shows whales a
LiveBTCNews36m ago
