Crypto心诚

ETH即將起飛🛫
以太坊即將在4小時級別的零軸反彈以及12小時級別的零軸反彈
日線級別一直在多頭附近徘徊，底部逐步抬高，各個級別都在零軸附近，即將展開多頭的攻勢，但向上的反彈力度是有限的，接下來要重點關注2350這個位置是否能突破，突破後將圍繞著2700附近運行
總結來說，接下來需要留意的是4小時級別的2170這個位置，只要不破，就會逐步向上推進
阻力：2300-2350
支撐：2170-2115

#BTC
The daily level bottom is gradually rising, and it's currently hovering around the zero axis. Regarding directional choice, what needs to be monitored is the initiation of the 4-hour level order flow. The 4-hour level is currently running above the zero axis. Next, pay attention to whether the 1-hour order flow can solidly hold the 71600 level. If it holds firm, it will continue moving upward. The strategy given to everyone yesterday was that if 69500 is not broken, we'll look for a rebound. Yesterday it indeed retested this level and executed a wave of rebound.
For the rebound ahead, wha

#BTC
The daily level bottom is gradually rising, and it's currently hovering around the zero axis. Regarding directional selection, what needs to be noted is the initiation of the 4-hour level price action. The 4-hour level is currently trading above the zero axis. Next, pay attention to whether the 1-hour chart can firmly hold the 71600 level. If it holds, it will continue upward. The idea given yesterday was that if 69500 is not broken, we would look for a rebound, and yesterday it indeed pulled back to this level and bounced.
For the subsequent rebound, the zone to watch is 74500~80000.
Su

BTC
昨天快速反彈了6%，但並沒有改變大方向趨勢
從日線圖來看，這個位置在反覆的去築底，但沒有去改變它的下降趨勢，要留意快慢線這個位置不能跌破零軸，同時要形成零軸附近的金叉，才能延續行情，從目前來看反彈力度不會很大，即使有利好反彈到80K也頂天了
1小時圖價格進行了二次反抽，未突破71600，形成了背離，因此要注意一小時級別帶來的回調風險，回調時關注下方支撐68500-67500

📈作為加密貨幣投資者來說，面對現在階段和行情應該保持怎樣的心態面對和等待？
面對2026年3月當前的行情，BTC徘徊在70,000美元左右，總市值約2.4T美元，較2025年高峰回落40%以上，最重要的是保持清醒、耐心和長期主義的心態。這不是「崩盤」，而是牛市後典型的修正/磨底階段——宏觀壓力（地緣政治緊張、美聯儲政策不確定性、去槓桿）帶來短期波動，但機構ETF持續吸籌、企業囤幣（如Michael Saylor持續加倉）和歷史底部信號（MVRV負值、開發者活動低迷）都在暗示：這是積累窗口，而不是末日。
1. 冷靜HODL，別panic sell（核心心態：冬眠模式），BTC在過去所有周期裡，都在類似「極度恐懼」中築底。你的任務是接受波動，把屏幕時間減到最低，每周只復盤一次基本面。生活照常，加密只是資產的一部分。
2. DCA + 戰略性加倉（執行心態：紀律+機會主義），現金儲備留足20-30%，準備好「黑天鵝」後的低吸。別追高槓桿、別FOMO altcoin季，優先抓大盤核心資產
3. 嚴格風險紀律（底線心態：生存第一）
只用「睡得著覺」的錢投資，單筆倉位不超過總資產的5-10%
4. 專注學習與基本面（成長心態：從交易者變投資者）
少刷盤，多讀鏈上數據（Glassnode、CryptoQuant）、監管動態和宏觀（美聯儲轉向、特朗普政策預期）。
5. 心理平衡 + 長期信仰（終

Saylor stated that MicroStrategy currently holds 762,099 BTC with an average cost of $75,694. At the current price of $70,000, which is below MicroStrategy's holding cost, even if you buy in now, your cost would still be lower than MicroStrategy's.
Currently, prices are being manipulated in accordance with negative news released by major players and geopolitical issues, repeatedly shaking out retail investors to extract their chips at low prices. This aligns with the bear market washout stages I shared with everyone yesterday. Although prices appear to have fallen and retail sentiment is extre

Summary: Gold is about to welcome short-term opportunities, with high-level wide-range fluctuations
In recent days, Asian markets have been frantically hoarding oil, with #92 gasoline already rising to 9.4 yuan, making it unaffordable to fill up
Gold has also experienced a significant pullback accordingly. This pullback is mainly due to some institutions rebalancing their portfolios, shifting from gold to higher-yielding bonds/cash. Although central bank gold purchases are still ongoing, the scale has slowed compared to peak years, weakening the price support
Gold right now is not about losing

比特币即將去$20W
目前BTC在走2浪後的中繼下跌，即將出現下跌3浪，3浪跌完後震旦吸籌直接衝刺$20W
但是短期還有很長一段路要走，手握 #uadt 等吧

Gold's largest single-week decline in 43 years was primarily due to:
①Middle East US-Iran conflict (Strait of Hormuz/Persian Gulf) causing energy prices to surge, pushing up global inflation expectations; escalation of conflicts seriously disrupting oil transportation, with supply chain costs rising substantially.
②Major global central banks collectively turning hawkish, with rate cut expectations cooling significantly, with market expectations for rate cuts in 2026 reduced from 2 times to 1 time or even fewer.
③Excessive prior gains, crowded speculative positions + profit-taking + stampede ef

💹人生發財看康波
根據主流康波周期分析，目前2026年正處於第五次康波周期（資訊技術/網路驅動）的蕭條期末尾，同時也是第六次康波周期（以AI + 新能源 + 生物科技等為核心驅動）的回升/復甦期起點或前夜。這是一個典型的新舊動能轉換窗口，也被很多人稱為“黎明前的黑暗”或“周期轉換關鍵節點”。
周金濤等周期研究者當年推演的2025-2026年作為第五輪蕭條終點與第六輪回升起點的判斷，在2026年已被市場和多家機構廣泛認可和驗證。全球經濟特徵表現為：
① 舊技術紅利（純網路、移動通信）基本耗盡
② 債務清理仍在進行，就業和消費修復緩慢
③ 但AI算力基礎設施、新能源裝備、機器人等新領域資本支出已明顯加速，技術從實驗室走向大規模商業化
🤌我們應該怎麼做？
㊀戰略心態：
接受“人生發財靠康波”的邏輯，把握住這個50-60年一遇的轉換期。普通人一生真正的大機會窗口其實不多，這次可能是很多人（尤其是80後、90後）最後一次康波級別的系統性財富重置機會。
㊁資產配置原則：
① 大幅降低對舊周期尾部資產的曝險（如傳統地產、二三線城市房產、純消費品、傳統製造業過剩產能相關）
② 逐步、定投式加大對新周期核心方向的配置（嚴控槓桿，避免追高）
③ 保留一定現金/黃金/美元資產應對短期波動（債務清理尾聲仍可能有反覆）
㊂個人層面：把時間和精力向AI、新能源、生物科技相關的技能、職業、創業方向傾斜。周期

US Nasdaq Index About to "Crash" 📉
When it was at 24K, I reminded everyone on major platforms that US stocks had already topped out. Looking back, all the predictions have come to pass as expected.
The last correction was 25%, and this wave is also expected to be around 25%, so keep an eye on the 18K–20K range for US stocks going forward.
🤌 What impact will a major US stock correction have on cryptocurrencies?
Bitcoin is now equivalent to tech stocks in the US stock market. Over the past year and more, the correlation coefficient between BTC and the Nasdaq has frequently fluctuated between 0

投資不是智商160的人一定打敗智商130的人的遊戲，而是紀律打敗智商的遊戲。
Investing is not a game in which a 160 IQ person beats a 130 IQ person. It's a game in which discipline beats intelligence.
——沃倫·巴菲特

OpenAI 擬推出桌面超級應用
從目前公開的信息看，這個超級應用的核心思路是把下面幾樣東西揉到一起：
①ChatGPT 的聊天/多模態交互界面
②Codex（現在更偏向高級編碼工具/IDE 集成）
③Atlas 瀏覽器（他們去年底推出的帶 AI 原生能力的瀏覽器）
④原生集成 Agent / 智能體能力，允許 AI 在用戶電腦上自主操作、執行閉環任務（寫代碼 → 運行 → 調試 → 根據網頁實時數據做分析這種）
本質上就是在往「本地 AI 操作系統 / 生產力中樞」的方向走，而不是繼續散打一堆獨立 App
這次調整的成敗不在於「合不合」，而在於 Agent 功能的實際體驗能不能達到「讓人願意把桌面主力工具換成它」的級別

Beautiful Country Labor Department just released the weekly initial jobless claims as of March 14: actual value was 205,000 people, significantly lower than market expectations of 215,000 people, and also lower than the previous week's 213,000 people. This is notably stronger-than-expected employment data, indicating that the U.S. labor market has strong resilience and layoffs are far smaller than anticipated.
Impact on Cryptocurrencies:
① Reduced rate-cut expectations (hawkish signal): Strong employment data means the economy doesn't need emergency stimulus, increasing the likelihood that the

BTC
在昨天公布利率決議之前快速進行了回撤
這兩天貝萊德在持續地往交易所充值比特幣，從而也帶動了市場恐慌情緒
目前這個位置是短線尤為重要的一個位置，在69500的支撐，只要這個位置被擊穿，圍繞著就是66300附近的支撐。目前要重點留意的是一小時級別的盘口是否能夠圍繞著69500進行向右側震盪，它就會修復MACD的歸零軸反彈，那反彈上方要留意71600，這個位置是否能夠突破？如果不能突破，還會再走一筆下行，此一筆下行仍將圍繞著68000到66000的區間運行
大方向：周線級別和日線級別還會有一波較大的下跌，所以以短線為主

BlackRock deposited another 930 BTC and 12,687 ETH into Cb
70K is about to break down, next target 68K～66K
#美联储维持利率不变