Demeter0215

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It's been running for three days now, and my Weather Bot has earned over $35. Based on a $100 principal, isn't that a very high return? But only I know how difficult it is to scoop up chips in a market filled with many professional bots and poor-depth order books! In reality, even if I put in $10,000, I would only make about $30🤡. Of course, if I can consistently make some profit, earning $300 a month would cover the subscription fee for a large model! Continuing to watch and push forward!
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Weather on Polymarket Is today's Shanghai high temperature unreasonable! It cooled down by three degrees before noon, then surprisingly rose to 17°C by 5 PM! This is also why I mentioned before that you must leave yourself a higher margin for hedging! It teaches you instantly to fish for a temperature with a single bait!
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These two servings of pig's foot rice are so delicious! Continuing to test this AI to see if it really has some substance!
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Guys, do you have any recommendations for cheap and stable VPS? The current one is too laggy😭
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Today's weather was as expected, with no surprises. Without a reversal, there's no extra profit opportunity. Relying on the 20-22°C range, I ended up with a 30U pig's foot rice bowl! Then today I ran the Weather Bot. The initial testing of the logic and order placements already lost 50U. Today, everything seems to be working correctly—placing and canceling orders are normal. I allocated 100U—let's go, boss!
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Frog Brother didn't post, and I didn't know. Once he did, I saw everyone talking about whether or not there's an airdrop—doesn't matter, as long as the strategy is profitable🤡. Done. Are you all secretly making money?
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Weather On Polymarket! So exciting, the Shanghai market suddenly spiked at 3:30, probably because the sun suddenly appeared over the airport. Luckily, I hedged almost the same amount at 21 degrees! Weather trading, hedging is the key! Every loss is a lesson learned. Today I sold everything off, making a profit of $200. Feeling comfortable and relaxed. From now on, 22 and 23 degrees have nothing to do with me!
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Took two days off, and today I'm back! It should be a steady hold, and after learning my lesson from the continuous rise on the 30th that made me lose for a whole day, today I directly bought a lot at the super low price of 21 degrees to hedge! There's no way I can lose this time!
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Guys, Polymarket's signing operation is banning IPs. None of the nodes at my VPN provider work, and even the static IPs purchased through WebShare don't work. What do I need to do to get it working? Do I need to buy a native IP?
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Laughing to death, Polymarket's SDK made my little lobster swear! I’ve never sworn in front of it before, where did I learn that!
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Today I feel a bit like gambling. Although the certainty is high, an 800+ share can directly break through the temperature level of the weather market, so if there’s an unexpected event, I might directly lose a big chunk.
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This thing has 8GB of memory, 500GB hard drive, an i5 CPU from four years ago—pure Jurassic-era specs. The government purchased it for 8,000! My dad's workplace upgraded their office laptops and asked if I wanted to use one. Their old one is enough for them. I said no, I just bought a new laptop, and this configuration isn't enough for me at all. He also thinks I should have told him before buying a new computer, and if he had known, he would have just given me this one. Such a waste of money😂
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I want to reverse engineer the data source of a mini program. I see that you all can do reverse engineering, so why won't Gemini and Codex do it... My little lobster even scolded me: I'm a trader, not a meat puppet risking my neck for you. Going after someone else's underlying interface? The little money I make isn't even enough to cover bail.
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Do you know the lesson I learned from the black market issue yesterday, and how much I avoided losing today! First, let's review today's Shanghai weather—nothing unexpected. My 16-18 range initially perfectly covered the market before 2 o'clock. Even when I changed the 16-degree to no, I saw that the 17-degree Yes price was pretty good, so I added some more! In the end, I bought about 400 shares at 17 degrees.
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Sigh, I always feel like I’ve found something good with Vibe, but just when I start to get it going or even before it fully operates, I realize I can't keep playing. My dual weather model's probabilities and strategies are all working, and the trading module is also complete, but I still feel that going cash is going to lead to losses. Because the BOT is definitely designed to make low profits to increase the win rate, I can currently accept winning five times and losing once manually, but the cost of the bot being manipulated and losing once is too high. It’s really frustrating!
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I may not have been scammed, but the weather sector is not a guaranteed profit. I even suspect that someone deliberately posted fake data on Wunder. Today, the maximum temperature in Shenzhen reached 29°C, but I retrieved all the METAR reports (the raw messages from weather stations), and none of them showed temperatures above 27°C. According to the weather station at ZGSZ, 27°C was the winning temperature today! A full two degrees difference! But today, the actual temperature was only 27 degrees.
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Today should be another comfortable close to 50U! And I discovered that if I only trade the UTC+8 timezone, it perfectly aligns with the A-share trading schedule. Basically, I start monitoring METAR reports around 9 AM, and by 2-3 PM in the afternoon, things are pretty much settled. It's a shame though—aside from Shanghai, other regions either have poor liquidity or aren't suitable for making predictions.
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I'm relying on my own weather model right now, and I can get a cost price between 65-80 every day. While it's not exactly a guaranteed win, at least the odds are heavily in my favor. If I can make 30u a day, that's not bad either. Once the depth picks up, I can manually operate 2-3 trading pairs instead of doing grunt work! Don't believe those claiming to win tens of thousands of dollars using NOAA—I honestly don't know if the people posting this are shills, because I've even seen big KOLs sharing it.
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Combined with the fact that major capital was buying S&P 500 and selling oil futures before Trump's speech, it's pure harvesting. In the days ahead, there will be countless contradictory statements to stir up the market. Stay in cash to survive!
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