Sykodelicc

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It's time to put the May 2022 fractal to bed.
In May 2022 we had an inverted hammer with bearish continuation.
Right now, we have the opposite. Bullish reversal.
These fractals may have looked similar, but fractals only serve as a basic idea.
What always matters more is in which environment they are forming in, and what is happening around them.
This does not mean we still can't revisit the lows, but it indicates that for now, on the higher timeframe, the market is looking for higher.
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kradembakarvip:
well-done and great work with unique post 📯📯
The best part is about to happen.
Just at the point where everyone thinks it goes to the worst part.
One of the biggest tells that this cycle isn't over, and has been different, is the behaviour of ETH/BTC.
The overall difference that everyone wants to reject is that this cycle is longer due to the business/liquidity cycle being in contraction for longer.
It becomes very clear when you look at it like this.
ETH/BTC is a proxy for how bullish the market is.
The final phase of the cycle that is supported by an expanding PMI, low interest rates and positive liquidity, is marked by ETH/BTC sending
ETH3,34%
BTC1,89%
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This is the most unexpected outcome.
Everyone is expecting down next, new lows, and the 4 year cycle to play out.
But it is my view that this is what is coming next.
For all the reasons I have covered over the last months, this is what I believe is next.
That this is a very different cycle, because of the overall economic/business/liquidity cycle being different.
I have provided unending pieces of data that backs this up, and this is the hill I will die on.
If/when we reclaim $74k, it will not just be a small bear market rally.
It will be a reclaim of the HTF structure, which will confirm the
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Alts are not dead.
Seeing so many posts claiming they are dead forever and they will never ever run again.
It's just not true.
Again, you have to understand what is going on behind the charts if you want to know the real picture.
The fact is that alts never truly got going this cycle because liquidity/expansion never truly got going this cycle.
Alts are vessels of liquidity, the riskiest assets in existence.
Every cycle they run hard when liquidity pushes most and the economy is expanding.
And as you can see, all we had this cycle was...
Fed Net Liquidity ranging, PMI contracting.... and thus
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GateUser-186d5c89vip:
earn crypto
這是你不能忽視的關鍵宏觀數據。
許多人在比較2022年5月和現在,只是簡單地看圖表。
但你必須理解圖表背後發生了什麼/正在發生什麼,才能理解我們現在的位置。
圖表看起來可能相似,但整體位置卻完全不同。
而這正是現在的情況。
2022年5月時,比特幣在美聯儲淨流動性大幅飆升後處於下降趨勢,有18個月的製造業採購經理指數擴張,通脹率為9%。
現在,美聯儲淨流動性已觸底並反轉,製造業採購經理指數已進入擴張,通脹率為2.4%。
2022年5月我們處於大幅擴張之後。
2026年3月我們處於擴張的開始。
美聯儲淨流動性從啟動2023年漲勢的相同水平反彈。就像製造業採購經理指數一樣,它已經鞏固了有史以來最長的時間。
這不是你可以輕易當作敘述或巧合而寫掉的數據。這是金融風險資產的主幹。
如果比特幣收復$74k ,它不僅僅是熊市反彈...
它將是對高時間框架區間的收復,使其喪失成為偏差,並很可能基於這一宏觀背景推向新高。
你必須理解這種情況與2022年5月相比的差異,並停止只是看著「分形模式兄弟」。
市場周期不會無原因地遵循4年模式...必須有更深層的宏觀基礎來推動這樣的走勢。
無論你是否想忽視它作為一個迷因...
但這一次確實不同,任何忽視這一點的人將付出代價。
BTC1,89%
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Un spot realmente interesante aquí para Bitcoin.
Tenemos una vela diaria que se ve bastante áspera, pero también tenemos:
- Ruptura de tendencia y sostén
- Ruptura de OBV
- Se mantuvo por encima de $70.5k
Puedes ver que esto se parece sorprendentemente a abril pasado, donde tuvimos una ruptura de tendencia y luego una ruptura de OBV.
Comparado con diciembre/enero cuando no hubo ruptura de OBV.
Ambas las métricas que uso para fuerza relativa comparada con el precio, OBV, y el gráfico de asignación de capital que comparto, ambos están señalando fortaleza aquí...
Lo cual es la señal opuesta a est
BTC1,89%
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It’s absolutely wild.
And everybody needs to take note of this right now.
The VAST majority of accounts, I’m talking 90%+…
Post bullish things when price goes up and bearish things when price goes down.
Once you recognise this you can basically ignore them.
Or, simply use it as a counter signal.
Real, educated and serious accounts will post content that goes against the current trend.
Whether that is being bullish after big dumps or bearish after big pumps…
It takes emotional control and objectivity to be able to do it.
It’s easy to be bearish on red candles and bullish on green ones.
But
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This has been shared so much.
The May 2022 fractal.
Everyone using it as their single piece of data as to why we will go lower and follow the exact same path as 2022.
But it looks nothing the same.
We have a bullish cross on the 9/21D EMA and a break of downtrend.
We now have a triple buy signal on the relative strength index.
It's all starting to look like higher here.
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I am doing a AMA.
Do you have something you'd like to ask me?
If so, please join my Free Discord and be a part of this Syko community AMA.
It will be on Monday 16th March at 9pm GMT time.
You can join using the link in the comments below :)
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No one wants to believe this.
But we now have full bullish alignment for Alts.
And this is right at the time that pretty much 100% of people have declared them dead forever.
It is not a coincidence.
I understand alts have been a tricky and disappointing asset class for many...
But we must not let feeling get in the way of objective data.
This bullish alignment we have now confirmed has only happened three times before.
It is when the 1month RSI ticks up and RSI trend changes.
For deeper analysis, the 1M RSI has been bearish since May 2024, and it has now flipped bullish.
Each time these condit
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We now have a double buy signal on Bitcoin.
The relative strength index is not giving up any ground here, and has flashed its second buy signal only two days after the first.
This signals heavy capital being allocated into Bitcoin while the price is compressing.
Right now, relative strength indicator is at $87k.
With Bitcoin holding well over the last week, we are seeing the signs of this allocation...
And next up should be the extension.
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GateUser-378c4af2vip:
thanks for the useful information 🙂
Lets be 100% real here for a minute.
Even if you are the hardest of gay bears...
Now is not the time for it.
Bitcoin has just put in 5 monthly red candles in a row.
The second largest amount in history, only second to 2018, where it put in 6 months.
However, during that time, the bottom was actually found in the 5th month.
In addition, the 1M RSI is at the second most oversold level, and the PMI has entered expansion.
Something that has preceded every bull cycle we have had.
So right now we have:
- Tied red monthly candles where the bottom was found
- Second lowest level 1M RSI
- ISM PMI in e
BTC1,89%
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Very key level here for Bitcoin.
Break above and we push to $88k & 1W 50EMA.
Break lower and range lows and 200D SMA are on the cards.
Which way sers?
BTC1,89%
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It's becoming very clear.
The amount of confluence all over these pivotal market charts is staggering...
And I don't understand how anyone can be ignoring it.
This is a big one.
Here we have:
- BTC.D minus stables
- Bitcoin
- PMI
We can see here that the same pattern is being followed.
1. BTC.D breaks the uptrend
2. PMI breaks into expansion
3. Between 196d - 238d BTC.D pushes higher & drops
4. Dominance drops AS Bitcoin rallies
Right now we have:
- Broken the BTC.D uptrend
- PMI has broken out
The next phase is for Bitcoin to grind higher as BTC.D pushes, with continues PMI expansion.
Then Bi
BTC1,89%
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Literally no one expects something like this.
Crypto holders have been so battered that they simply cannot entertain a situation like this unfolding.
The thought of Bitcoin going up 10% is too much to handle at the moment, let alone reaching a peak of $250k.
But the fact is that this projection has a lot of weight.
This is sound TA based on the logarithmic chart, with key levels all being respected throughout.
It is not a coincidence.
We can see that previous cycles have had a very similar pattern of:
- Top
- Bottom
- Mid cycle top
- Mid cycle bottom
Then onto the overall top again.
The fact i
BTC1,89%
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MKamranvip:
🚀 To the moon!
Things are looking pretty healthy.
In comparison to the last range from $80k to $98k, this time, the foundations are much stronger.
Back then we had:
- Rising price
- Rising Open interest
- Deeply negative Coinbase premium
This time we have:
- Rising price
- Flat Open interest
- Positive Coinbase premium
There is a lot more genuine bid happening here with less people willing to ape in heavy with leverage.
Again, im not confirming we won't revisit the lows...
But this setup is far more favourable than last time.
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Things are getting wild...
And yet Bitcoin is making higher lows.
This doesn't mean that the low can't be swept, but it is something to take note of.
It seems that Bitcoin is barely moving on bad news or correlating assets moving lower.
In the 2022 bear market, bad news kept nuking BTC over and over.
But now, we are holding this area and starting to become numb to events.
When good news stops moving the price higher the top is close, and when bad news stops moving the price lower, the bottom is close.
BTC1,89%
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MayAllYourWishesComeTrue.vip:
That's right, I paid attention.
It is pretty pathetic.
The amount of fear and panic on this app.
So many fear mongering, scared little boys, unable to control their emotions.
This war will be over and done with so much faster than everyone is saying.
And all of a sudden, everything will go back to being fine. Not just fine, better.
And the crashing out of everyone will have been for absolutely no reason, just like it is every other time.
No, we are not going to WW3.
No, we are not going into 2008
Get a grip of yourself and shake your head.
All it takes is one announcement saying they have reached a peace deal, and that’s
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I am not currently in a trade.
Market is sending mixed signals and there is a high chance a few traps are being set here.
We have a lot of people expecting the exact same price action from the January sweep high at 98k...
But as we can see here, Coinbase Premium looks a lot different from then. During that whole push up it was deeply in the red.
And the ETFs are bidding hard right now.
We've had spot selling on this drop but also a wipe off almost all the OI since the original impulse.
This push up seems to have a lot more support than when we were at $98k.
Observing for now.
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