Sykodelicc

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It's time to put the May 2022 fractal to bed.
In May 2022 we had an inverted hammer with bearish continuation.
Right now, we have the opposite. Bullish reversal.
These fractals may have looked similar, but fractals only serve as a basic idea.
What always matters more is in which environment they are forming in, and what is happening around them.
This does not mean we still can't revisit the lows, but it indicates that for now, on the higher timeframe, the market is looking for higher.
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The best part is about to happen.
Just at the point where everyone thinks it goes to the worst part.
One of the biggest tells that this cycle isn't over, and has been different, is the behaviour of ETH/BTC.
The overall difference that everyone wants to reject is that this cycle is longer due to the business/liquidity cycle being in contraction for longer.
It becomes very clear when you look at it like this.
ETH/BTC is a proxy for how bullish the market is.
The final phase of the cycle that is supported by an expanding PMI, low interest rates and positive liquidity, is marked by ETH/BTC sending
ETH2,64%
BTC2,01%
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This is the most unexpected outcome.
Everyone is expecting down next, new lows, and the 4 year cycle to play out.
But it is my view that this is what is coming next.
For all the reasons I have covered over the last months, this is what I believe is next.
That this is a very different cycle, because of the overall economic/business/liquidity cycle being different.
I have provided unending pieces of data that backs this up, and this is the hill I will die on.
If/when we reclaim $74k, it will not just be a small bear market rally.
It will be a reclaim of the HTF structure, which will confirm the
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Alts tidak mati.
Melihat begitu banyak postingan yang mengklaim mereka mati selamanya dan tidak akan pernah berjalan lagi.
Itu hanya tidak benar.
Sekali lagi, Anda harus memahami apa yang terjadi di balik grafik jika ingin mengetahui gambaran sebenarnya.
Faktanya adalah bahwa alts tidak pernah benar-benar berjalan di siklus ini karena likuiditas/ekspansi tidak pernah benar-benar berjalan di siklus ini.
Alts adalah wadah likuiditas, aset paling berisiko yang ada.
Setiap siklus mereka berjalan keras ketika likuiditas tekan paling banyak dan ekonomi sedang berkembang.
Dan seperti yang Anda lihat,
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GateUser-186d5c89vip:
earn crypto
这是你不能忽视的关键宏观数据。
许多人在简单地看图表,将2022年5月与现在进行比较。
但你必须理解图表背后发生了什么/正在发生什么,才能理解我们现在的位置。
图表看起来可能相似,但整体上处于完全不同的地方。
而这正是现在的情况。
2022年5月,比特币在美联储净流动性大幅飙升后处于下跌趋势,有18个月的采购经理人指数扩张,通胀率为9%。
现在,美联储净流动性已触底并反转,采购经理人指数已进入扩张期,通胀率为2.4%。
2022年5月我们处于大规模扩张的背后。
2026年3月我们处于扩张的开始阶段。
美联储净流动性从启动2023年上升的相同水平反弹。就像采购经理人指数一样,它已经盘整了有史以来最长的时间。
这不是你可以写成叙述或巧合的简单数据。这是金融风险资产的骨干。
如果比特币收复$74k ,这不仅仅是熊市反弹……
这将是对历史最高点区间的收复,使其丧失成为偏差,它很可能基于这种宏观背景创出新高。
你必须理解这种情况与2022年5月的区别,而不是只看"muh fractal bro"。
周期不会无缘无故地遵循4年模式……必须有更深层的宏观基础来推动这样的走势。
无论你是否想将其忽视为梗……
但这次确实不同,任何忽视这一点的人都会付出代价。
BTC2,01%
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Spot yang sangat menarik di sini untuk Bitcoin.
Kami memiliki candle harian yang terlihat cukup kasar, tetapi kami juga memiliki:
- Break of trend dan hold
- OBV breakout
- Held above $70.5k
Anda dapat melihat bahwa ini terlihat sangat mirip dengan April lalu, di mana kami memiliki break of trend dan kemudian OBV breakout.
Dibandingkan dengan Desember/Januari ketika tidak ada OBV breakout.
Kedua metrik yang saya gunakan untuk relative strength dibandingkan dengan price, OBV, dan capital allocator chart yang saya bagikan, keduanya menunjukkan kekuatan di sini...
Yang merupakan signal berlawanan
BTC2,01%
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It’s absolutely wild.
And everybody needs to take note of this right now.
The VAST majority of accounts, I’m talking 90%+…
Post bullish things when price goes up and bearish things when price goes down.
Once you recognise this you can basically ignore them.
Or, simply use it as a counter signal.
Real, educated and serious accounts will post content that goes against the current trend.
Whether that is being bullish after big dumps or bearish after big pumps…
It takes emotional control and objectivity to be able to do it.
It’s easy to be bearish on red candles and bullish on green ones.
But
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This has been shared so much.
The May 2022 fractal.
Everyone using it as their single piece of data as to why we will go lower and follow the exact same path as 2022.
But it looks nothing the same.
We have a bullish cross on the 9/21D EMA and a break of downtrend.
We now have a triple buy signal on the relative strength index.
It's all starting to look like higher here.
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I am doing a AMA.
Do you have something you'd like to ask me?
If so, please join my Free Discord and be a part of this Syko community AMA.
It will be on Monday 16th March at 9pm GMT time.
You can join using the link in the comments below :)
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No one wants to believe this.
But we now have full bullish alignment for Alts.
And this is right at the time that pretty much 100% of people have declared them dead forever.
It is not a coincidence.
I understand alts have been a tricky and disappointing asset class for many...
But we must not let feeling get in the way of objective data.
This bullish alignment we have now confirmed has only happened three times before.
It is when the 1month RSI ticks up and RSI trend changes.
For deeper analysis, the 1M RSI has been bearish since May 2024, and it has now flipped bullish.
Each time these condit
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We now have a double buy signal on Bitcoin.
The relative strength index is not giving up any ground here, and has flashed its second buy signal only two days after the first.
This signals heavy capital being allocated into Bitcoin while the price is compressing.
Right now, relative strength indicator is at $87k.
With Bitcoin holding well over the last week, we are seeing the signs of this allocation...
And next up should be the extension.
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GateUser-378c4af2vip:
thanks for the useful information 🙂
Lets be 100% real here for a minute.
Even if you are the hardest of gay bears...
Now is not the time for it.
Bitcoin has just put in 5 monthly red candles in a row.
The second largest amount in history, only second to 2018, where it put in 6 months.
However, during that time, the bottom was actually found in the 5th month.
In addition, the 1M RSI is at the second most oversold level, and the PMI has entered expansion.
Something that has preceded every bull cycle we have had.
So right now we have:
- Tied red monthly candles where the bottom was found
- Second lowest level 1M RSI
- ISM PMI in e
BTC2,01%
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Very key level here for Bitcoin.
Break above and we push to $88k & 1W 50EMA.
Break lower and range lows and 200D SMA are on the cards.
Which way sers?
BTC2,01%
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It's becoming very clear.
The amount of confluence all over these pivotal market charts is staggering...
And I don't understand how anyone can be ignoring it.
This is a big one.
Here we have:
- BTC.D minus stables
- Bitcoin
- PMI
We can see here that the same pattern is being followed.
1. BTC.D breaks the uptrend
2. PMI breaks into expansion
3. Between 196d - 238d BTC.D pushes higher & drops
4. Dominance drops AS Bitcoin rallies
Right now we have:
- Broken the BTC.D uptrend
- PMI has broken out
The next phase is for Bitcoin to grind higher as BTC.D pushes, with continues PMI expansion.
Then Bi
BTC2,01%
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Literally no one expects something like this.
Crypto holders have been so battered that they simply cannot entertain a situation like this unfolding.
The thought of Bitcoin going up 10% is too much to handle at the moment, let alone reaching a peak of $250k.
But the fact is that this projection has a lot of weight.
This is sound TA based on the logarithmic chart, with key levels all being respected throughout.
It is not a coincidence.
We can see that previous cycles have had a very similar pattern of:
- Top
- Bottom
- Mid cycle top
- Mid cycle bottom
Then onto the overall top again.
The fact i
BTC2,01%
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MKamranvip:
🚀 To the moon!
Things are looking pretty healthy.
In comparison to the last range from $80k to $98k, this time, the foundations are much stronger.
Back then we had:
- Rising price
- Rising Open interest
- Deeply negative Coinbase premium
This time we have:
- Rising price
- Flat Open interest
- Positive Coinbase premium
There is a lot more genuine bid happening here with less people willing to ape in heavy with leverage.
Again, im not confirming we won't revisit the lows...
But this setup is far more favourable than last time.
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Things are getting wild...
And yet Bitcoin is making higher lows.
This doesn't mean that the low can't be swept, but it is something to take note of.
It seems that Bitcoin is barely moving on bad news or correlating assets moving lower.
In the 2022 bear market, bad news kept nuking BTC over and over.
But now, we are holding this area and starting to become numb to events.
When good news stops moving the price higher the top is close, and when bad news stops moving the price lower, the bottom is close.
BTC2,01%
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MayAllYourWishesComeTrue.vip:
That's right, I paid attention.
It is pretty pathetic.
The amount of fear and panic on this app.
So many fear mongering, scared little boys, unable to control their emotions.
This war will be over and done with so much faster than everyone is saying.
And all of a sudden, everything will go back to being fine. Not just fine, better.
And the crashing out of everyone will have been for absolutely no reason, just like it is every other time.
No, we are not going to WW3.
No, we are not going into 2008
Get a grip of yourself and shake your head.
All it takes is one announcement saying they have reached a peace deal, and that’s
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I am not currently in a trade.
Market is sending mixed signals and there is a high chance a few traps are being set here.
We have a lot of people expecting the exact same price action from the January sweep high at 98k...
But as we can see here, Coinbase Premium looks a lot different from then. During that whole push up it was deeply in the red.
And the ETFs are bidding hard right now.
We've had spot selling on this drop but also a wipe off almost all the OI since the original impulse.
This push up seems to have a lot more support than when we were at $98k.
Observing for now.
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