#加密市场反弹 The current driving logic of the crypto market has undergone subtle changes.
Market sensitivity to the macro environment has significantly increased, with volatility in US tech stocks transmitting instantly to the crypto market. This phenomenon indicates that the primary factors driving prices remain macro liquidity and risk appetite, rather than breakthroughs in the fundamentals of cryptocurrencies themselves. Traditional factors such as Federal Reserve policy expectations and inflation data are increasingly influencing the crypto market.
Capital flows show clear layering characteris

#比特币行情观察 Don't rush to catch the bottom; around 80,000 may not be the bottom of this Bitcoin cycle.
Currently, Bitcoin is near $92,000, and expectations for a correction vary significantly across different timeframes. In the short term, corrections are expected mainly between $80,000 and $86,000; in the medium term, a dip to $40,000 - $70,000 is highly probable, with a possibility of falling even lower, as detailed below:
1. Short-term (by the end of 2025): Most opinions believe the correction will focus on the $80,000 - $86,000 range. Derek Lim, research director at a cryptocurrency trading f

#加密市场观察 Retail participation weakens, making sustainable upward movement in the crypto market difficult to achieve
Matrixport released a chart today stating, “Currently, retail participation in the crypto market remains relatively low. Taking South Korea, where retail share has historically been high, as an example, the current trading volume is significantly lower compared to the peaks of 2023 and December 2024: back then, daily trading volumes could reach billions of dollars, whereas now it is barely around $1 billion, reflecting that retail funds mainly engaged in short-term trading have n

#加密市场反弹 Today's rally is not a broad-based surge but a clear structural rotation, with multiple sub-sector indices outperforming the overall market.
The AI (Artificial Intelligence) sector leads the rally: this sector has an average 24-hour increase of 4.46%, ranking first among all sectors. Among them, FET is up 9.6%, and Worldcoin (WLD) has increased by 6.5%, showing strong market enthusiasm for the integration of AI and blockchain.
Meme sector reignites popularity: the sector as a whole has risen 4.21%, with some hot cryptocurrencies like dogwifhat (WIF) up 13.05%, and new projects like PIP

#ETH12月行情预测 forecast range $3208~$3400
The current price of ETH is around $3,300, and the daily chart is showing a bullish trend, but it is in a short-term correction phase, with long and short sides competing near key prices.
Capital flow: ETH ETFs continue to attract gold, with a cumulative inflow of more than $425 million in December, and institutional funds continue to flow in, providing support for the market.
Technical indicators: The daily line has four consecutive yangs, breaking through the previous high of 3240, the moving average is arranged by the bulls, and the upper Bollinger ba

#美联储降息预测 The rate cut itself is no longer that important
The Federal Reserve is about to announce its final rate decision for the year.
It’s almost an open secret now: a 25 basis point cut.
Before the positive expectation is realized, it counts as a bullish factor; once realized, it no longer does. That’s how smart money plays.
01 Highly Aligned Expectations
According to ONE’s data, the probability of a rate cut is already as high as 87%-89.5%.
Once it happens, the rate will be in the 3.5%-3.75% range.
Investors still believing “rate cut = bullish” need to change their mindset quickly.
When ev

#比特币行情观察 Bitcoin has broken the 4-year cycle pattern, and this bull market may reach a peak of $200,000 in 2027. This week’s Fed rate cut will normalize liquidity, and the market is expected to see a broad rally this week or even this month.
On December 8, Wall Street firm Bernstein pointed out in its latest analysis report: “Given the recent market correction, we believe Bitcoin’s cycle has broken the four-year pattern (i.e., a peak every four years), and is now entering an extended bull market cycle. Stickier institutional buying is offsetting any panic selling from retail investors. Althoug

#十二月行情展望 December could be a turning point for the crypto market in the near term, with the probability of a significant rally far greater than another decline
According to CoinDesk, K33 Research analyst Vetle Lunde stated that December could be a turning point for the crypto market in the near term, as structural upside potential is forming. Currently, Bitcoin's valuation reflects market panic more than fundamentals, and the probability of a significant rally is far greater than the 80% chance of another decline, making December a potentially bold buying opportunity. K33 believes the market i

The brand new Watch-to-Earn event is here!
Watch live streams and interact to easily earn rewards—zero barriers to entry!
🎁 gold bars, #Christmas gift boxes, thermos cups, and more exclusive merchandise
🎉 Plus GT token rewards, trading fee cashback vouchers, and many other benefits waiting for you!
How to participate:
1️⃣ Watch any live stream for 5 minutes
2️⃣ Send 5 comments
3️⃣ Reserve 10 upcoming live streams
Join now: https://www.gate.com/activities/watch-to-earn?now_period=12

#美联储降息预测 If this rate cut is implemented, the crypto market is likely to experience a rebound for the following main reasons:
1 Increased Liquidity: Rate cuts typically release more liquidity, making more funds available in the market. Some of this capital will seek higher-yield investment opportunities, and cryptocurrencies, as a high-risk and high-reward asset class, may attract some of these funds, thereby driving prices up.
2 Improved Risk Appetite: Rate cuts are often seen as a signal of monetary policy easing, which increases the market's risk appetite. Investors become more willing to

#加密市场观察 Latest Developments in the Cryptocurrency Market: Bitcoin Price Remains Sluggish, On-Chain Data Reveals Potential Volatility Signals
Today, the cryptocurrency market continues to experience a downturn. Bitcoin’s price is hovering around $91,000, while the market sentiment indicator “Fear & Greed Index” sits at only 24, indicating clear fear among investors. Against this backdrop, three key signals may suggest a new wave of market volatility is approaching:
1. Abnormal Bitcoin On-Chain Fund Movements
On-chain data monitoring platform Glassnode reported that within 48 hours at the beginn

#比特币行情观察
1. Bitcoin Price Dynamics and Volatility Risks
Bitcoin’s recent price has fluctuated within the $88,000-$91,000 range, with multiple failed attempts to break the key psychological level of $90,000, presenting a “lower high” pattern that indicates insufficient upward momentum. If Bitcoin falls below $87,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major centralized exchanges (CEXs) will reach $491 million; previously, when breaking $91,000, short liquidation intensity drew attention, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to price volatility risks.
2. Institutional and Corporate Bit

#十二月行情展望 Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Bullish and Bearish Signals Collide—How Will the Year-End Trend Unfold?
Based on comprehensive information from various sources, the year-end to early next year Bitcoin trend may follow one of the two paths below:
Path 1: Breakout Upwards
If the price effectively breaks through and holds above the $92,000 resistance level, market sentiment may quickly turn optimistic. The next target will be the psychological threshold of $100,000, potentially kicking off an even stronger year-end rally.
Path 2: Bottom-Seeking Downward
If the resistance cannot be broken, the m

#加密市场观察 December 6 Web3 Crypto Market News
1 • Macro Economy: US September core PCE annual growth rate fell to 2.8%, a five-month low, providing more room for a Fed rate cut in December. Polymarket predicts the probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in December has risen to 94%. US leading economic indicators continue to deteriorate, with the ratio to coincident economic indicators falling to the lowest level since 2008.
2 • Bitcoin Trends: After the PCE data release, Bitcoin briefly dropped to around $87,000, momentarily falling below $89,000. Key support is in the $89,000–$90,700 ra

#加密市场观察 stands in stark contrast to the broad market rally two months ago (October 27), as today the market is shrouded in selling pressure. According to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, over 133,000 traders were liquidated across the market, with the total amount of liquidations reaching as high as $425 million, indicating intense price volatility and significant leveraged liquidation risk.
There are several key factors behind this widespread decline:
Macroeconomic environment changes: Capital flows are shifting. Bitcoin’s appeal as a "risk-on" asset appears to be weakening, with some f

#比特币行情观察 Bitcoin trend similar to gold, market outlook from late 2025 to 2026
Currently, Bitcoin is at a critical point in the tug of war between "oversold recovery" and "uncertain trend." From a market performance perspective, since hitting an all-time high of $126,300 in early October, it has dropped by more than 33%, wiping out much of its gains for the year. The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization has evaporated by $1 trillion, falling to $3.04 trillion. However, the recent rebound has shown some resilience, forming short-term support around $84,000, accompanied by a significant