Signs of a sluggish job market continue to emerge
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released a complex set of signals in its November employment report yesterday. Non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000 jobs, surpassing market expectations of 50,000, but the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.6%, the highest since September 2021 and above the forecasted 4.4%. More notably, the previous month's data was significantly revised downward, with October non-farm jobs actually decreasing by 105,000, far exceeding the initial estimate of a 25,000 decline.
This data reflects subtle changes in the labor market—companies are not engaging in large-scale layoffs but are cautiously controlling new hiring. Analysts point out that some firms prefer to have workflows handled by artificial intelligence rather than increasing human labor. Over the past six months, the private sector has averaged only 44,000 new hires per month, the slowest pace since the economic recovery period following the pandemic.
Market concerns about a recession intensify
After the employment data was released, the Federal Reserve's interest rate