2025 have shown me some of the smartest people on CT.
People are making money off retail FOMO and it's on @Polymarket.
+ 118 projects launched via TGE this year
+ Around 100 are now trading below TGE
+ The median token is down ~71% FDV from launch
Most of the big 2025 launches were clearly overvalued on pre-markets.
Sure, there are still great projects. Some launches will do very well.
But if you look at the stats, the picture is pretty clear.
Pinned one of the top traders here:

GM to the holidays ☕️
It's Christmas Eve today 🪄🎄
Spend more time with family and friends 🧡

GM Legends 🌞
FOMC and Rate news today, stay safe!☕️

GM CT 🌞
Every new day is a choice 👌
Build wealth or remain where you are 😎

If you really look at this graph, you'd see that $BTC's best months are October & November.
Although, this year's October & November were the worst in the past few years.
And it gets worse because according to the charts...
December is one of the WORST months for $BTC, because it's a festive month with low volume.

Good morning family ☕️
Congratulations on making it to December 🔥
Let’s get this bag 💼

Leverage addiction is officially at an all-time high.
US leveraged ETF AUM just blasted to $239B in Q3 2025, the biggest number ever recorded.
For context...
This whole market was sitting around $60B not too long ago. Now, it’s four times that.
Meaning a lot of people are putting their money on the line this cycle.
It's definitely retail and institutions will use this data for themselves.

GM Legends! 🌞
Happy New Week ☕️
Can I get a GM this fine morning? 🔥

Good morning CT 🌞
Another to dig through this bear market ☕️

If you really look at it, it's crazy how money supply is exploding.
Even while central banks are “tightening,” right?
We’ve added about $10T to global money supply in the last year alone.
Now imagine when central banks eventually have to flip back to expansion mode.
Ignore the short-term volatility in hard assets for a second.
This is the macro signal that actually drives the cycle.

This week has been disappointing in terms of what the market is giving us.
+ ETF inflows have slowed down
+ Long-term holders are selling more aggressively
+ Retail is basically on ghost mode
Research firms are even calling this an early-stage bear phase.
Now, price is sliding into thin air with support around $93k–$95k. $BTC
Lose that zone and bears might drag it toward $89.6k.
Even analysts are saying the next move depends on macro.

GM CT frens 🌞
Surviving is non negotiable, Everything else is bullshit ☕
Whatever it takes survive! 💪🏻
Happy new week 🤎

The fear/greed chart is at the lowest I've ever seen.
It's at 15 and even went to 14 yesterday (lowest since March).
Everywhere is dry and no one wants to put any money in...
And somehow $BTC is still crawling UP the macro trendline.
This is exactly how bottoms feel in real time, sentiment dies first.
📸 @CryptosR_Us

May I have a GM?☀️
Have a blessed Friday 🍀

Bitcoin is literally trapped around $104k...
And it is squeezed tight between the 0.85 cost-basis band at $108.5K and the 0.75 band at $100.6K.
These quantile levels are where whales historically flip the trend:
+ Break above $108.5k and shorts get smoked, and $BTC enters expansion.
+ Lose $100.6K and we revisit lower liquidity pockets FAST.
It’s a compressed volatility zon eand the longer BTC sits here… the harder the breakout that follows.
I’m staring at this. Something big is loading.
Source: @glassnode