#加密市场观察 Japanese Rate Hike and Its Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market: Is a "Black Swan" Possible?
The probability of the Bank of Japan raising rates on December 19, 2025, is extremely high. The overall market expects a 25 basis point increase to 0.75%, with the likelihood exceeding 80%. Previously, senior officials of the Bank of Japan predicted that after this increase, there could be three more hikes, and the final rate could reach 1.5%.
The upcoming rate hike by the Bank of Japan, its main mechanism being the withdrawal of the decades-supported "cheap yen," will trigger a sharp revaluatio

Why does Bitcoin often drop exactly at 18:00 Moscow time?
Bitcoin drops almost every day at the same time — right when the American market opens, when activity and trading volume suddenly increase.
These declines resemble the work of large high-frequency traders who profit by pushing the price down and then buying back cheaper.
Jane Street is often mentioned in discussions due to its large positions in Bitcoin ETFs and resources that enable such operations, although there is no direct proof of its involvement.
In recent weeks, many have noticed a strange pattern: Bitcoin often begins to fall w

Recent Key Events Attracting Market Attention
Lately, discussions around Ethereum have mainly focused on the following areas, involving both macroeconomic developments and the impact of specific technical upgrades.
· New Narrative about Wall Street and Regulation
· Main perspective: Some analysts believe that capital networks between Wall Street and Washington are forming a new chain: American political and economic elites → US national debt → stablecoins/crypto wallets → Ethereum + RWA (real-world assets) + L2. Recent statements by the SEC chairman about the possibility of migrating the ent

#AreYouBullishOrBearishToday? The cryptocurrency market continues to develop rapidly, driven by new liquidity flows, technical adjustments, and macroeconomic sentiments. Below is a detailed VIP analysis of the main assets, indicating whether each coin is inclined toward a bullish or bearish trend, as well as trading strategies for navigating current conditions.
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $92 500, showing a neutral or slightly bullish sentiment. Buying on dips continues, indicating strong accumulation. If momentum strengthens, BTC could target $96 000–$98 000, and a support level breakout

SpaceX conducted another major on-chain transfer this week, moving just over 1,000 BTC – part of a continuing model that has been ongoing for several months, which, according to analysts, indicates internal portfolio restructuring rather than market activity.
With the latest transaction, the total volume of Bitcoin transferred via Coinbase Prime this year has reached nearly 9,000 BTC, according to blockchain analysts tracking the company's addresses.
The transfer on Wednesday divided the funds between two new addresses – 614 BTC to one and 407 BTC to the other. Although SpaceX has not publicly

#数字资产生态回暖 Bitcoin gate pattern is on the verge of change
The middle track has been repeatedly consolidated, is it possible to change the general trend today? This question is asked by many. Let's start with BTC and understand the rhythm of Bitcoin, and the fluctuations of altcoins are naturally much easier to deal with.
**Bitcoin's long-term trend, in my opinion**
Recently, some analysts have expressed the opinion that the four-year cycle theory has failed, and Bitcoin will come out of a long-term bull market. My calculations differ – in 5-10 years, Bitcoin will follow a growth path, and the

Recently, expectations regarding US monetary policy, new trends in government regulation, macroeconomic data, and enforcement measures have jointly determined sharp fluctuations in the price of Bitcoin, intensified the confrontation between bulls and bears, and in the short term, created a two-sided effect: “policy easing expectations provide support, while regulatory uncertainty puts pressure.”
I. Monetary Policy: Rate Cut Expectations as Key Support, Policy Fluctuations Increase Volatility
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy shift is the key macro factor influencing Bitcoin dynamics; chang

Breaking news shows that the latest code on Tesla's official website has already added a Dogecoin payment interface, covering several car models. This move is seen in the industry as an important step in Tesla's preparation for deepening the application of cryptocurrencies.
According to technical experts’ analysis, full technical integration with Dogecoin has been found in the payment systems of the Tesla Model 3 and Cybertruck. Combined with Elon Musk’s recent actions and rumors about applying for a financial license for the X platform, the public speculates that Tesla aims to create a crypto

LUNC is dropping sharply after failing to hold above the breakout zone near 0.00008160. The structure on the 15-minute chart has shifted from a steady uptrend to a clear corrective move. The price broke below the MA5, MA10, and MA30 moving averages on a strong impulse wave, and now all three moving averages have turned downward. This signals a strong short-term shift in control in favor of sellers.
The pullback from the top was clear and aggressive. Liquidity concentrated near 0.00008100 absorbed the last wave of buying and triggered a reversal downward.
Subsequent candles show increasing sell

DeFi structure on the Aptos chain?
This year a clear trend has emerged: the combination of leading protocols has stabilized, with each serving its own function across different asset and risk tiers. Echo, Aries, TruFin, Kofi, and Aptin—these five projects have long maintained their spots in the top 10 by TVL, with their combined total value locked exceeding $370 million, making them the main pillars of Aptos’ financial layer.
Echo continues to lead with a TVL of $270 million, mainly due to aBTC liquidity and restaking. Essentially, it serves as the gateway for BTC capital on Aptos, providing i

Discipline holds, emotions do not.
"The market does not reward emotions—only patience and discipline. Charts move, but discipline holds." For me, these words are not just a quote—they are a principle by which I live and trade.
My strategy is built on three things: observation, analysis, and a deliberate move. I don't give in to panic and I don't try to "chase profits." Every move I make on the exchange is the result of a plan and a review of the current situation: cryptocurrency rates, news, streams, posts, launchpools, hodlers, contests, chat, etc. These are steps I have thought through. Al

🔥 Market 2026–2027: Two Scenarios, and Both Can Be Profitable
Today, the market stands at a crossroads.
Bitcoin is pulling upward, alts are starting to wake up — but the main question is: where will the capital go next?
🟦 Scenario #1 — Bitcoin Remains King
Institutions keep buying BTC via ETFs.
Liquidity is increasing.
Macro analysts say: structure is bullish, trend is alive.
👉 Potential:
$BTC : up to $120k–$180k in 2027
$ETH : steady growth
Alts: spikes only in strong sectors — AI, DePIN, Solana
This is the scenario for those playing the long game and preserving capital.
🟥 Scenario #2 —

#Share My Holding#数字资产市场观察 $BTC This V-shaped reversal was pretty wild, from 930 down to 838, almost scared people to death. Fortunately, the 860 level held, and one big candle brought it back to 923. 10% trading on the swings — if you catch the money-making move, great; if not, you’ll get slapped in the face.
At 3 a.m. there was a drop, supposedly Trump announced plans to send troops to Venezuela to fight drug trafficking. Such geopolitical events need to be closely monitored; if actions start, risky assets will likely suffer, and BTC won’t be spared.
Right now the price is rising to 920, so