Bit_Bull
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$ETH / $BTC looks ready to move higher.
First time breakout, then the retest and now it's moving higher.
This is a classic bullish move which often starts a strong uptrend.
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Someone turned $716 into $214,000 in just one week by holding memecoin.
And such things are a good sign.
In the past, any major crypto recovery has started with memes taking the lead.
If you see memes outperforming for a few weeks, understand that the worst is behind us.
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The chatter around Fed resuming QT is heating up.
And this is due to obvious reasons.
First of all, bond yields are moving higher despite rate cuts.
This is a sign that the market believes Fed can't control inflation.
Additionally, Labor market and consumer sentiment is at its worst level since 2020 pandemic.
This is another sign that the Fed has tightened too much.
The only way now is to add some reserves to control the rising bond yields.
This is why the market expects $40B-$45B in bond buying per month from Jan 2026.
If bond yields are still not in control, the Fed will have to ramp up QE.
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All of a sudden $ETH has started to look good.
A bullish inverse head and shoulder pattern.
ETH/BTC strong close above 50W EMA level.
Big bets of $6K-$6.5K ETH on Deribit.
Big whales opening massive long positions.
This indicates that smart money believes ETH will outperform BTC from here.
If this really happens, it'll be bullish for both ETH and alts.
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Major Events This Week:
1. 9th December: September JOLTS Job Openings data
2. 10th December: Fed Interest Rate Decision and Powell's press conference
3. 11th December: OPEC Monthly Report, Initial Jobless Claims, PPI and Core PPI data
4. 11th December: US 30Y Bond Auction
5. 12th December: Fed balance sheet release and Fed governors speech
Keep an eye on these.
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$BNB pulled a clean 2x after breaking out of its 4-year consolidation.
Now, it's coming lower and probably flip its resistance into support.
If this support level holds, I can see BNB rallying towards 4-digits again.
BNB2.12%
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Bitcoin DATs demand has evaporated.
It's now at its lowest level since Q3 2024.
Also, most of the DATs are down 70%-90% from their ATH, which means they don't have much buying power left.
This really needs to change for a sustained rally in Bitcoin.
BTC3.72%
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Where are we in this Altcoin cycle?
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ETH/BTC seems to be repeating the Q3 2025 fractal.
Breakout from its downtrend.
RSI breakout and retest.
MACD moving strong.
I think the next few months could be bullish for ETH/BTC.
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Alts have now entered an accumulation zone.
Alts 30-day volume average has now fallen below the yearly average.
This is a sign that investors are not interested in alts, which is often a good opportunity.
The last 3 times this happened was in Q3 2023, Q3 2024 and Q1 2025.
After each instance, alts went on a big rally.
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ETH/BTC has one of the best looking charts right now.
Both RSI and price broke above the downtrend.
And now, it's holding strong above it.
Keep an eye 👀
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Options Expiry Alert 🚨
$4.025 billion in BTC and ETH options expire today.
$3.357 billion worth of BTC options with a max pain at $91,000 expire today.
$668 million worth of ETH options with a max pain at $3,050 expire today.
Expect high volatility and big price movements.
BTC3.72%
ETH5.75%
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Others/BTC is attempting another breakout now.
Liquidity is improving in the economy as:
- Treasury is injecting liquidity
- Fed has stopped liquidity drain
I think we could see some outperformance in alts against BTC.
BTC3.72%
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Treasury has started to inject liquidity into the markets.
First the Fed stepped up, and injected $20B+ into banks.
After that, Treasury bought back $12.5B of its own debt, which is the largest single day buyback.
Not only that, Treasury has started releasing liquidity from TGA balance too, which is even better for risk-on assets.
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ETH/BTC is trying to reclaim the 50W EMA level again.
This has been a bull/bear line, and a reclaim will start the outperformance on $ETH
Also, ETH/BTC uptrend has been one of the reliable signals for AltSeason.
Keep an eye.
ETH5.75%
BTC3.72%
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Crypto MCap still has one leg up left.
And this'll be dominated by alts.
If we consider $126K BTC as top, there'll be a rally in alts before things go down.
BTC3.72%
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US money market fund assets have hit $8T for the first time ever.
And this is a good sign for risk-on assets.
Money-market funds deploy their assets in T-bills and other forms of debt which offer 4%-5% annual debt.
But what if yield goes down?
Well, with Fed rate cut cycle started, this is becoming a reality.
And in this case, investors will look at other options for a better return.
Right now, the biggest asset managers are offering access to crypto, so a good chunk will flow into BTC and alts.
Imagine a 0.5% allocation over the next 12 months; $40B will flow into the crypto markets.
BTC3.72%
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$GOLD has probably one of the best looking charts out there.
Breakout from the bullish pennant and now the retest of breakout trendline.
As beautiful this chart looks, it's also a sign of worry.
Gold showing strength means the market still thinks "worst isn't over".
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This is one scenario I'm expecting for $BTC in December.
BOJ rate decision will happen in a week, and BTC could see a rally before that.
If rate hike happens, Bitcoin will see a drop below $80K while RSI will make a higher high.
This'll be a classic bullish divergence which also played out in Q1 2025.
BTC3.72%
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Japan is expected to do a rate hike this month.
Since 2024, BOJ has raised the interest rates thrice.
March 2024: This marked the local top for Bitcoin
July 2024: This dumped Bitcoin below $50K
Jan 2025: This marked the local top for Bitcoin.
Right now, BTC is already down 30%+ from its ATH.
I'm expecting something like the July 2024 scenario, if BOJ cut rates.
Maybe a sharp correction below $80K to capitulate before a relief rally towards $100K.
BTC3.72%
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