Important upcoming events next week:
1. 12.16 (Tuesday) 21:30 US November Non-Farm Payrolls;
2. 12.17 (Wednesday) 22:05 Federal Reserve Speech;
3. 12.18 (Thursday) US November CPI;
4. 12.19 (Friday) Japan Monetary Policy Meeting;
This December rate cut has already been completed, with a total reduction of 75 basis points this year, and the positive momentum has largely played out. After the rebound, the overall outlook remains bearish. #美联储降息

#ETH12月行情预测 $ETH From the 12-hour candlestick chart, ETHUSDT's current latest price is 3092.06, down more than 4.85% from the 24-hour high. The price has broken below the short-term moving averages MA7 (3211.88) and MA25 (3101.07), and is only temporarily supported by MA99 (3294.78). The recent volume bars show a decreasing trend, indicating that selling pressure is being released but buying support is insufficient. Technically, the previous rally to 3446.12 and subsequent pullback trend remains unchanged, with short-term bears dominating (77.96% of orders are short positions). If the price ca

Yesterday's Federal Reserve meeting, the market currently focuses on two main points:
First: No more rate hikes to come, and there will be one more cut each in 2026 and 2027.
Don’t get caught up in arguments about “not cutting enough” or “not enough力度,” as those calculations are not ours to make. The only thing that truly matters is: the next two years are still in a rate-cutting cycle, and liquidity expectations haven't disappeared—that's the market's biggest confidence.
Second: Starting December 13, the Fed will repurchase 40 billion USD worth of short-term U.S. Treasuries each month.
This i

BTC Insights
Bitcoin has experienced a significant price surge, driven by institutional interest and macroeconomic expectations, but may face potential resistance. Key insights:
1. Price Action: Bitcoin prices soared above $94,000, fueled by short liquidations and strong buying pressure.
2. Macro Catalysts: Expectations of Fed rate cuts and regulatory clarity are the main drivers of the current market.
3. Institutional Shift: Bitcoin supply is moving from exchanges to institutional holdings, tightening the circulating supply.
Highlights
1. Macroeconomic Tailwinds: There is a 95% prob

#美联储降息预测 Liquidity Signal is Here! Major Banks Urge the Fed for a "Triple Cut"—Hold On to Your Crypto!
Breaking News!
International banking giant Barclays has released a forecast: the Federal Reserve is very likely to cut rates this week, with more cuts to follow in March and June next year! In other words, the Fed is preparing to "open the floodgates," and market liquidity is expected to increase significantly.
What does this mean for the crypto space?
It is undoubtedly a long-term bullish signal! With more capital in the market, some of it will flow into the high-risk, high-reward crypto ma

#Gate广场新手村第十期
I once experienced a profound "reverse" discipline enforcement on Gate. After research, I went heavy on a leading Layer 2 token, but the market turned bearish and it was cut in half from its peak. Facing huge unrealized losses, panic made me think, "I'll cut my losses if it bounces a bit." But according to my DCA plan, this was precisely the range to increase my position. I spent two whole days fighting my emotions and ultimately executed the buy order with strict discipline amid fear. I continued DCA for the next six months, patiently waiting for the cycle to turn. When the bul

Why hasn't there been an altcoin season in this bull run???
The main reason we haven’t seen an altcoin season this cycle is that the sudden surge and unique gameplay of the “presidential coins” completely stunned the market. Logically, something like presidents launching coins should have drawn attention and new participants in—but instead, it crushed the “relay game” that could have brewed slowly.
How do traditional altcoin seasons grow? They start with a slow rise, gradually nurturing retail investors and small market makers, with market caps climbing from a few million to tens or hundreds o

The last time I saw a certain animal coin rise by 300% in half an hour, my FOMO emotions were instantly pumped up, and I hurriedly bought in. As a result, I successfully bought at the ATH, experiencing the most exciting 30-second roller coaster of my life, only to be left hanging at the top of the mountain. Now my frens call me "crypto world frozen hero," specializing in treating all kinds of grievances. #我的币圈搞笑瞬间

#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
Analysis of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book
Economic Stagnation: The report says that the U.S. economy has seen almost no growth recently, like a wheel stuck in the mud – unable to turn.
Consumption Polarization: Only the rich are still spending, while the purchasing power of ordinary people continues to shrink, and the business of supermarkets and restaurants is visibly sluggish.
Job market cooling: Job openings have slightly decreased, and the difficulty of finding a job has quietly increased.
The price of living is like a frog in warm water: although the rate of increase

The interest rate cut probability in December is 85%.
QT ending on December 1
Cryptocurrency Market Structure Bill
Over 130 applications for cryptocurrency ETFs have been submitted.
The accommodative monetary policy has already begun.
Artificial intelligence is reaching new historical highs.
So
A bear market doesn't just start like that.

It’s normal to see significant disagreement between bulls and bears around the 88,000 level for BTC. Previously, during the market downturn, the 88,000 level provided support twice, leading to rebounds up to 94,000. Although it was eventually broken, a former support level often becomes a resistance level after being breached. That’s why I mentioned that the area around 88,000 is suitable for short-term short positions. In the short term, although the market’s rebound is facing resistance, it’s not a big problem—just a matter of waiting out the time. Once the price stabilizes above 88,000 and

#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 Continuing to track market maker Wintermute, they had a drawdown of $33.38 million last week.
They increased their holdings in the following: ETH, WBTC, ASTER, XAUT, SOL, XAUT, SENA, 4, VIRTUAL, DEGEN, WIF, STRK, (ZEX, GRASS, IMX, FLOKI, ONDO, PNUT, 1INCH, PENDLE, AVAX, and ACT.
Conversely, they reduced their positions in RSTETH, FARTCOIN, POL, LINK, BONK, PUMP, MET, CRV, FLUID, ARC, TRUMP, SKYAI, SNX, and GRT.
Market making institutions are currently undergoing a frenzy of altcoin rotation.

The US unemployment rate reached 4.4% in September, which is a bit higher than expected. Recently, the market has been speculating whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December, and the probability has been fluctuating, but I still think they will eventually cut.
The reasons are not singular. It’s not just that inflation isn’t as high as imagined, nor is it only that employment is weakening, and it’s certainly not just the occasional “liquidity crunch” in financial markets. The real pressure on the US is debt.
US corporate debt is massive, government debt is even more stagger