I did a quick calculation and decided to place a short order at 3300. If there's disagreement, you'll have to judge for yourself.
In the short term, I'm bullish, but the disagreement is that I don't believe there's a bull market; giving a false bull signal is possible.

Sister said you can go long, but I'm not planning to open a long position, so I'll just watch.

After looking at it from the perspective of the older sister, it seems that the possibility of hitting the empty loss mentioned earlier is quite high. For now, I don't know where to open a long position above 3150. Let's wait and see; I haven't placed any orders either.

Yesterday predicted 3150, and today it just happened to be right. Although it's quite accurate, it's mainly a coincidence because at the time, I was prepared to add a short if it went up, and if it dropped directly, I wouldn't be caught in this decline. So I haven't placed an order at the 3150 integer level. Currently, I only said that if it breaks above 3150 and continues to rise, I will add another 10%, which definitely wouldn't be at the overly low level of 3150.

Reached 3150, I will probably start with 10% initial position. Quite busy, not analyzing, but you can review the previous text.

There is very little time left for the bulls to make a rebound, because on Friday night the US stock market crashed 2%, so the opening on next Monday is still a mystery. Secondly, the Market has basically anticipated the Japanese interest rate hike on the 19th, and with liquidity drying up at the end of the year, I was originally waiting for a weekend correction to at least rebound above 3150 before shorting. However, the weekend was very dull, the rebound structure seems to have completed but is very weak, which makes me wonder whether it is really a trap for shorting or if a crash is truly i

Bear markets don't necessarily mean going long. It's important to realize that even if there's a large liquidation volume above, judging and predicting the trend based solely on this is very one-sided, because if the market turns bullish again, the long liquidation volume will be re-established.
Therefore, whether it's Bitcoin at 97,000 or Ethereum at 3,580, these are extreme levels.
If the market indeed rebounds as expected and aims for a second attempt to short, it doesn't necessarily have to be at the peak; positions can be scaled in gradually. For example, a main position around 3368. When

The pinned update from November 26th showing the price trend forecast, although somewhat rough, marks the position near 97,000 for Bitcoin. Combining the previous discussion, the liquidity above and the high liquidation power make it unlikely for the market to let these shorts make huge profits.
Ethereum's liquidation level is approximately around 3580, with the target still at 2200 below, and Bitcoin at 60,000.
Considering the current market sentiment turning bearish and liquidity calculations, the upward structure has not been completely broken. Therefore, we choose to close the position

Currently, the focus is on a small rebound above 3000. After it completes, can it continue to break downward? If so, go short. Short until the short-term structural bottom around 2700, then wait for the market to choose again.

Above 3380 and 3580 have strong liquidation liquidity. To be honest, if it doesn't push up and drops directly to below 2200, the probability is quite low, and it's very likely to find a positive breakout when testing the bottom at around 2700.
Just wait and see.

Yesterday, I closed my position at the entry point, missing out on a few dozen points. The impact is not significant. Now, we are back to this awkward position where both bulls and bears are at a standstill. Those holding short positions can continue to hold as long as they don't give back profits. I will wait for a rebound to go short again.

Both 3000 and 3100 have support, so I sold and ran first, and I just happened to not sleep.

Closed position, supported at 3100

You can now set the stop loss at 3240 instead of 3300 to avoid being caught off guard in the middle of the night. Actually, I originally planned that he might push above 3400 again to clear out the shorts, so I was prepared to cut losses and then open new shorts at a better position. Now it seems that if the price keeps falling, there will be no opportunity. Currently, only 30% of the position has been entered.

In simple terms, during the early stage of a bear market, many people still operate from a bullish perspective, so they can sell off almost without hesitation. Now, in the mid-stage of the bear market, most voices consider it to be a bear market as well, and they are also shorting to see the lows. Therefore, the market must create a false breakout of a new bull market phenomenon, keeping their liquidation points above 4000 to effectively prevent this.

3250 short position with 15% allocation has been triggered

The introduction has explained that the default for copying trades is with tenfold contracts. Each time you open a position, only 10% of the capital is used, playing 100x all-in. Even Buffett can't save you. A 1% position in a 100x contract is equivalent to a 10% position in a tenfold contract.
The senior trader just gave an update. You can see a take-profit at 3100, while I mentioned dynamically taking profit at 3000. After a rebound, shorting at higher levels is also in line with what the senior trader said—that 3000 can be used as a rebound entry point for long positions.
Of course, in a be

Currently, for those looking to add to their position, try to wait until above 3250, as there may be a rebound. If not, then don't bother. Actually, as long as you hold 30% of your position, you’re basically earning something.
Today I covered quite a bit because starting next week, with only one month left until the end of the term, prioritizing studying might really leave no time to analyze this stuff. The overall trend won't change much, just hold on.

After closing the position, my current position is only 15%. Yesterday when it was 3337, I directly increased to 30%. As a result, in the evening, it rebounded around 3440. Such a loss, feeling like I missed out on about 100 points. I plan to add to my position later. I estimate my position will not exceed 40%. I must keep at least 50% of my position as a safety net. Proper position management can ensure you hold onto your trades.
Currently, only 30% of the copy trading has been invested. The forced liquidation level is around 4500. I am using a secondary account to follow the standard trades

It's not easy. Every time I use 10% of my position, I get tortured by break-even losses. Although I didn't catch the best move this time, I finally gained 150 points. To be honest, I really wanted to close all my positions at 3170, but in the end, I held back and only reduced half of my position.
Since it has already dropped 150 points, there might be a small rebound. If it can rebound to around 3250, I will short again.
Then, I will wait for it to fall to 3000 and close all positions, then use the rebound from 3000 to short again.
This is a complex strategy.
For beginners or followers