In the era where traffic is king, the Matthew effect is too strong, which means the weak will always be invisibly harvested by various KOLs and institutions. In this so-called decentralized Web3 era, your strategies will be quantitatively and precisely crushed, your beliefs will be destroyed by all kinds of knowledge scams, and the injustices you encounter will be forever sidelined and silenced in this noisy market. Ironically, the crab mentality among the weak further strengthens the determination of the top players to stick together, creating even greater momentum to block your access to val

In the next 2–5 years, Wall Street will be forced to embrace blockchain technology, leading to an irreversible wave of trillions of dollars in incremental funds flowing into RWA as well as #BTC and #BTC as systemic collateral.
As the trend of on-chain adoption continues, institutional demand for #ETH and #ETH will steadily rise because they are the only neutral and highly consensual collateral assets. This shift is irreversible, though it will be gradual.
The migration of traditional assets onto on-chain ledgers will lower the resistance for institutions to hold crypto assets, but it won't

Only by maintaining an empty-cup mindset can we continually upgrade our operating system amidst chaos. Being like an empty cup is not about retreating, but rather a more advanced form of offense.
We think we understand the market, the cycles, the causes and effects, but reality repeatedly proves that the way the world operates is far more complex than our cognition.
I have never been superstitious about so-called top-pickers or analysts. In this industry, no one is qualified to make predictions—not because we're not smart enough, but because the system itself is inherently unpredictable.
So I

The world we live in is essentially a highly complex, dynamically coupled system—unpredictable, irreducible, and often even inexplicable in hindsight.
This is even more true for markets. Historically, the S&P 500 index has plummeted 20% without any significant news, which itself serves as a heavy rebuttal to the rational equilibrium narrative of traditional economics.
In classical theory, the market resembles a precise but predictable machine, while in reality, it is more like a giant beast with emotions, inertia, and the potential to panic and stampede.
Melanie Mitchell points out in "Complex

In its 2025 strategic shift, Tesla is elevating its robotics business to become the core driver of the company’s future value and is preparing for the era of millions of robots. This will open up a new trillion-dollar market. The United States is set to go all-in on humanoid robots. U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo has already begun meeting frequently with senior executives from major tech companies and is considering an executive order that may be introduced next year, aiming to accelerate domestic R&D and manufacturing of humanoid robots. Wall Street has also started betting on this

The fluctuation of the crypto market is still dominated by the US dollar system. Every time it is in a consolidation period, there are always people finding a bunch of reasons from irrelevant news for the small rises and falls, such as China's tightening of monetary policy on crypto assets, Japan's interest rate hike... The United States is undoubtedly the barometer of the global crypto market, and the influence of the European Union and Asia on market prices has become minimal. Let's follow the US more closely. If there is no significant movement in the US, prices will always fluc

Musk said, "Energy is the true currency, and the value basis of Bitcoin is energy." Indeed, the value of #BTC reflects the emotions and beliefs of consensus, and the energy generated by this consensus is tremendous, as it reshapes the global currency value and financial system. $BTC $GT $ETH

Fluctuation is the embodiment of emotions and the process of price discovery; it represents vitality and life! The greater the fluctuation, the greater the energy of the internal Bull vs Bear Battle, providing us with more opportunities, as there are too many discrepancies and misalignments between asset prices and values. What we should truly fear is 0 fluctuation, which signals the end of the ecosystem. $BTC $GT $ETH

Having a complete system of thinking can avoid most non-systematic risks in trading. Using a fixed trading system model can effectively counter the unpredictability of the market and the loss of control in emotions. Munger often says that the thinking and judgment generated by the intertwining of multiple disciplines is similar to system thinking. Different expressions yield the same results, all based on first principles, which can be applied to solve many complex problems in reality. The formation of various viewpoints also relies on system thinking. Understanding how to build a highway for

Everyone's trading performance is essentially an externalization of their cognitive ability, just as a pocket is an external form of financial intelligence. If one does not explore their own cognitive gaps, the harder they work, the more likely they are to suffer a market backlash. It is a game of personal cognitive height, an anti-human operation beyond the brain's Computing Power. Therefore, the trading market is a relatively fair arena where everyone is qualified to participate, as long as they can overcome the primitive evolutionary legacy of the brain, they will be rewarded by the

Various social forms or circles are the carefully constructed ideological walls of vested interests, serving as enslavement, hunting, and blocking of valuable information, making it difficult to break through. Thus, we are easily deceived by misinformation, taking what others hope we will believe as irrefutable facts in an environment where truth is hard to discern. How many people have lived their entire lives trapped within these insurmountable boundaries, dying without ever escaping? Misinformation kills invisibly, and this is the greatest real obstacle brought to people by the era of infor

Kaito is a clumsy show staged by the capital side and KOLs to play people for suckers from the top down!
It is a distorted culture formed by the development of Web3 to this day.
When most KOLs become opinion leaders for profit, guiding the market direction, it indicates that this circle is on the brink of collapse.
Throughout history, any company with absolute value has ultimately been discovered to have remarkable value through continuous product refinement and iteration in a positive development environment over time.
instead of the project being played people for suckers to the peak right a

Today, the so-called prophets in the Chinese community have finally fallen silent. Just yesterday, some were seriously predicting that BTC and ETH had hit the bottom, telling others to Buy the dip.
In fact, it is oneself who is trapped and wants to drag more people down to gamble on a rebound, using historical data, news, and various technical analyses to predict future market trends.
In fact, they themselves do not know where the bottom is, yet they insist on pretending to understand everything.
Wrap blind guesses into insights, hijack fans' judgment with emotions,
Some people are still f

On the road of trading, do not blindly trust any individual or institution, including celebrities, institutions, media, and exchanges. Do not be disturbed and influenced by their statements, as they are all makeshift teams with sucker thinking. Most opinions carry different purposes and positions, various biases and motives. You should establish your own independent and complete system of thinking to seek the truth, rather than being blinded by this information and noise. Various opinions can be absorbed and filtered, and then validated with your own logic. The market will not rise or fall bec

Polymarket will become a barometer sweeping through the stock market and the crypto world in the future, a super aggregator of real-world emotions and probabilities. It is a large-scale Oracle Machine that uses the collective wisdom and emotions of people to vote with real money on bets, a huge market that prices future events in advance. Like encryption, it is an expression of Consensus probabilities, fundamentally different from the Oracle Machines formed by feeding on-chain price data. $BTC $GT $ETH

In the crypto world, I only respect Maji, a person who takes faith and obsession to the extreme, a typical all in personality, daring to be crazy during a bull run and able to hold firm during a Bear Market, a mediocre trader, and a top spiritual mentor! $BTC $GT $ETH

Privacy coins will eventually be infinitely marginalized.
but it will not end or crash,
Because privacy is an eternal need:
Companies do not want to expose the flow of funds in the supply chain,
The fund does not want to expose its positions,
Ordinary users also do not want others to see their wallet balance.
But the real world will not let it grow wildly,
As countries tighten regulations,
The liquidity and development space of Privacy Coins will be infinitely compressed,
The future privacy features will be embedded into the public chain as a standard configuration rather than relying on Moner

I have always felt that those who think the market has nearly bottomed out and have the mentality of buying the dip should pay more attention to the daily chart, weekly chart, and even monthly chart. There is still infinite space to the south. While historical data or cycles can predict the US stock market, they cannot predict the crypto market; it will continually refresh our understanding. I am not advocating for extremism, and I never take a bearish stance on encryption. Just don't let overconfidence and cognitive biases dictate your trading behavior. Don't confront the market head-