Currently, the market shows a huge divergence between bulls and bears. Some believe that "extreme fear is a signal to buy the dip," while others worry that "regulatory tightening will continue to push prices down." Combining technical analysis and news sentiment, we have organized clear long and short logic and practical strategies to avoid armchair speculation!

Let's first look at the bullish and bearish logic:
Bitcoin (BTC) Bullish Logic
(Reasons to be bullish)
1. Oversold on technicals + indicator divergence, short-term rebound probability increases;
2. Federal Reserve rate cut expectations remain unchanged, favorable for long-term liquidity environment;
3. Bitcoin halving cycle approaching, supply contraction supports long-term value.
1. Oversold on technicals + indicator divergence, short-term rebound momentum is sufficient;
Bearish Logic (Reasons to be bearish)
1. Stricter regulations suppress risk appetite, capital flows into safe assets;
2. Extreme fear sentiment persists, retail investors continue to sell, institutions are cautious about entering;
3. Previous gains are too large, valuation reversion pressure has not been fully released.

Practical Strategy Recommendations (short-term, mid-term, with risk control)
Core principle: The current market is in extreme fear, with high uncertainty. Prioritize risk control, avoid heavy positions, and beginners are advised to trade lightly or stay on the sidelines!

Short-term Trading (suitable for swing traders, cycle 1-3 days)
Bitcoin: Lightly buy around $67,000-$68,000, stop loss at $66,000 (exit immediately if broken to avoid larger losses); reduce positions at resistance around $71,000-$72,000, take profit at $69,000 (take profits when the market looks good, avoid greed).

Mid-term Trading (suitable for long-term holders, cycle 1-4 weeks)
Mainly observe, do not blindly buy the dip! Wait for clear stabilization signals:
Bitcoin needs to close higher on the daily chart + volume breakout above $72,000. Confirm stabilization before gradually increasing positions, to avoid risks from regulatory and macro policy fluctuations.

This is just for sharing, not investment advice⚠️⚠️⚠️