Adaptive power law based on Bayesian regression.

Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley stated that Bitcoin has fallen nearly 30% this year, with double-digit declines in a single day entering bear market territory. However, he believes that the current correction is more influenced by macroeconomic factors, as cryptocurrencies are being sold off alongside high-liquidity assets like US stocks and gold. Meanwhile, long-term holders' confidence is wavering, but new institutional entrants see this as a "second entry opportunity after missing out."
During this turbulent transition phase, do you think this is the start of a deep bear market or a window for l

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#CMEGroupPlansCMEToken
CME Group Plans CME Token In Depth Analysis
CME Group, the world largest derivatives exchange and a cornerstone of global financial markets, is actively exploring the launch of its own digital token. This initiative marks a major step for a traditional finance giant moving deeper into the digital assets and tokenized finance space. While CME Group has been involved in crypto markets for years through regulated futures and options, this would be its first move toward issuing a proprietary blockchain based asset.
The plan is still in its early and exploratory phase. CME h

#PartialGovernmentShutdownEnds PartialGovernmentShutdownEndsMarketImpactAndStrategicImplications
The recent partial government shutdown in the United States has officially concluded restoring normal federal operations and removing a key source of macro uncertainty while the direct economic impact was limited its resolution has already influenced investor psychology and capital flows particularly across risk assets such as equities and crypto
RecentMarketSnapshot Bitcoin BTC trades around 67000 to 68000 showing moderate recovery after recent volatility Ethereum ETH ranges near 1950 to 2000 stab

Bitcoin at the $70,000 Threshold: The Sword of Damocles Hanging High
Bitcoin's price has returned to the $70,000 mark. This rebound, pulled up from the depths of a sharp decline, appears to be a sign of hope on the surface but is actually a new challenge for the market. Both market sentiment and capital flows reveal that this is not the time to heavily buy the dip.
Market psychology is undergoing a major test. The total liquidation amount across the network after the crash and the fear index clearly depict investor extreme fear and unease. Restoring confidence is not an overnight task, and any

feliz ano para todos da plataforma #BuyTheDipOrWaitNow? #CryptoMarketPullback #GlobalTechSell-OffHitsRiskAssets #BitwiseFilesforUNISpotETF #PartialGovernmentShutdownEnds

🔵 Ethereum Crashes 29% in a Week, but Reversal Signals Start to Appear
Ethereum has suffered a sharp correction, with price falling nearly 29% over the past week and slipping below the $2,000 mark. ETH is now trading at levels last seen nine months ago, reflecting severe weakness across the market.

Diminishing buyer support has worsened conditions, with on-chain data confirming growing stress among Ethereum holders.
🔸 Ethereum Holders Move Back To Selling
Ethereum holders have increasingly resorted to panic selling as broader market conditions deteriorated. On-chain data from the Realized

【$BERA Signal】Long | Healthy Pullback After Massive Breakout
After completing a massive breakout on the 4-hour chart, the price is consolidating tightly at a high level. The current price is close above the breakout level, with buy orders significantly outweighing sell orders on the order book, and the funding rate remains negative, indicating that bears are still being forced to close positions passively, fueling the subsequent upward movement.
🎯Direction: Long
🎯Entry: 0.505 - 0.515
🛑Stop Loss: 0.464 $BERA Rigid stop loss, below the low of the previous 4-hour candle(
🚀Target 1: 0.588 )Pre

#GlobalTechSell-OffHitsRiskAssets
Global Tech Sell Off Hits Risk Assets
Global markets are facing renewed pressure as a broad tech sell off continues to ripple across risk assets. What started as weakness in major technology stocks has now spread into equities, commodities, and crypto markets. This shift is not just about individual companies. It reflects a wider change in investor sentiment, liquidity conditions, and risk appetite across global markets.
Technology stocks have been leading global growth narratives for years. When tech weakens, it often signals deeper structural concerns. Rece

【$NIGHT Signal】Long | Healthy Pullback After Volume Breakout
$NIGHT Completed a volume breakout on the 4-hour chart, with the current price consolidating tightly near the recent high after the breakout. This is a typical healthy reset rather than a top formation. Buying pressure shows strong absorption in the 0.0505-0.0510 range, and after the short squeeze, market sentiment has turned positive.
🎯 Direction: Long
🎯 Entry: 0.0528 - 0.0535
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.0504 ( Rigid stop loss, below the key absorption zone )
🚀 Target 1: 0.0580
🚀 Target 2: 0.0620
The 4-hour candlestick chart shows three c

$PI $PI A sharp drop is sure to be followed by a sharp rise. Boldly copy the robot below to increase profits and reduce risks. Recommended leverage is 1~2x. Take profit at 50%~300%. Once you've made a profit, it's best to exit; otherwise, you could easily lose. #pi

$TRIA First, do some brainwashing to keep the price stable, and wait until the 1 million barrels of oil are released.

#BuyTheDipOrWaitNow? — Ethereum L2 Power Shift & Market Positioning (2026 Outlook)
The Ethereum Layer 2 ecosystem in 2026 is no longer defined by experimentation or speculative growth. It is now shaped by distribution power, institutional infrastructure, and settlement-layer efficiency. For investors and traders, this shift reframes the core question: Is this a dip worth buying, or a phase that requires patience and structural confirmation?
Understanding the evolving L2 hierarchy is essential before making allocation decisions.
1. The “Base” Takeover — When Distribution Wins
While Arbitrum and

February 7th, Big Coin and Small Coin Silk Road
Big Coin dropped to 59,800 yesterday and then stabilized and rebounded, but the selling pressure at the 70,000 level is very strong. Technically, the MACD green bars are shrinking, but the RSI is heading downward. The 70,000 threshold is likely to be tested back and forth. The trend of Small Coin is basically synchronized with Big Coin. Today, it's generally suitable for light positions to make a short-term move.
Personal trading suggestions:
Big Coin can be bought in the 70,000-71,000 range, with targets at 68,000-66,000;
Small Coin can be bough

#GlobalTechSell-OffHitsRiskAssets GlobalTechSell-OffHitsRiskAssets—CryptoInTheCrossfire
The recent global tech sell-off isn’t just Nasdaq pain its shockwaves are hitting all risk assets including crypto understanding these dynamics is critical for strategic positioning
📉DriversOfTheSell-Off rising interest rate pressure growth-oriented and leveraged tech stocks are highly sensitive to rates higher bond yields lead to heavier discounting of future cash flows pushing valuations lower risk-off sentiment spreads as investors rotate from equities into safe havens like USD bonds and gold crypto as

#BitcoinDropsBelow$65K
Bitcoin Drops Below 65K Market Update
Bitcoin has recently dropped below the 65K level, triggering strong reactions across the crypto market. This move has attracted attention because it represents a major drawdown from the previous market peak and signals a shift in short term market conditions. The decline has raised important questions about trend strength, risk sentiment, and what traders should expect next.
Bitcoin Price Action and Market Sentiment
Bitcoin falling below 65K marks a significant correction from its all time high above 126K reached in October 2025. Th