Probabilities & practical outlook

Short term (days–weeks): Cautious bullish — market likely to extend modest gains if Fed expectations hold and ETF flows are net supportive. But expect volatility; intraday reversals are common.

Medium term (months): Conditional upside — if institutional adoption (ETFs, custody) continues and macro liquidity improves, structural demand could sustain a multi-month bull leg; conversely, a macro shock or ETF outflow streak would knock prices back quickly.
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