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Federal Reserve cuts interest rates combined with $40 billion repurchase operations: capital outflows accelerate, and global market segmentation becomes evident
After the Federal Reserve's expected 25 basis point rate cut, there was a noticeable shift in global capital flows. In addition to the rate cut, the Federal Reserve also announced it will repurchase approximately $40 billion of short-term government bonds (T-bills) each month, further lowering real interest rates and injecting liquidity into the market. From a policy perspective, this combination should be favorable for risk assets, but the market's actual reaction has shown clear divergence.
The rate decision was largely in line with expectations, with 3 out of 10 members voting against. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell explicitly stated that there is still room for further rate cuts in 2026, after which the policy may enter a period of observation, with a renewed focus on inflation control. Against this backdrop, markets are re-evaluating the future monetary policy path, especially regarding the stance of the new dovish-leaning Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Hasset, whose previous hints that the number of future rate cuts could exceed three have, in the short term, increased market uncertainty.
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