Vance 稱伊朗停火為「脆弱休戰」，川普警告無協議將致文明毀滅

U.S. Vice President JD Vance publicly stated in Hungary on Tuesday that the ceasefire agreement recently reached between the United States and Iran is only a “fragile truce,” and he hinted that there are dishonest parties involved in the negotiation process, casting a layer of uncertainty over the highly watched Middle East ceasefire.

Two-week ceasefire sparks a rebound in global markets

According to CNBC, this ceasefire agreement was officially announced on Tuesday. The news immediately triggered a positive reaction across global financial markets, with major stock indexes showing a clear rebound, and oil futures prices also fluctuating accordingly.

However, Vance’s remarks poured cold water on market optimism. In a speech in Budapest, Hungary, where he campaigned for Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, he clearly characterized the ceasefire as a temporary arrangement rather than a foundation for long-term peace.

Vance: Iran’s foreign minister’s response is positive, but someone is “lying”

In his speech, Vance said that the U.S.-Iran negotiations did not go smoothly. He said that Iran’s foreign minister’s response to the ceasefire agreement was “good,” indicating that at least on the surface, Iran’s official side is willing to cooperate. But he quickly shifted his tone, accusing other participants in the talks of “lying,” suggesting that the stability of the ceasefire agreement is still threatened by multiple factors.

The comments sparked questions from the outside about whether the ceasefire agreement can last. Analysts noted that Vance’s wording shows the U.S. still has doubts about Iran’s sincerity, and whether the two-week ceasefire window can be extended into a longer-term framework for peace is still unknown.

Trump applies hard pressure this week: Without an agreement, “the entire civilization will perish”

Notably, before the ceasefire agreement was reached, U.S. President Donald Trump earlier this week issued an extremely tough warning, saying that if the two sides fail to reach an agreement, “the entire civilization will perish.” This apocalyptic phrasing was seen as Trump’s negotiation strategy to apply maximum pressure on Iran and to push the other side to make more concessions at the negotiating table.

In his speech in Hungary, Vance further added that the United States has achieved its core military objective—its ability to destroy Iran’s forces’ capacity to wage conventional warfare. This means that even if the ceasefire ultimately breaks down, the U.S. believes it has already gained a strategic advantage on the military front.

Ceasefire outlook full of variables

Overall, although markets reacted positively to the ceasefire news, based on Vance’s remarks, Washington does not appear to be overly optimistic about the agreement’s durability. The two-week ceasefire deadline is quickly approaching, and the international community is closely watching whether the U.S. and Iran can establish enough mutual trust during this period to transform a temporary ceasefire into a formal peace agreement. The Trump administration is, on the one hand, demonstrating military strength, and on the other hand, using diplomatic means to seek room for negotiation. How effective this “two-track strategy” ultimately will be remains to be seen.

This article first appeared on Lian News ABMedia: Vance calls Iran’s ceasefire a “fragile truce,” and Trump warns that without an agreement, civilization will end.