PANews, February 17 — Cryptocurrency analyst Axel stated in a personal blog post that this bear market cycle began around October 2025 with a historical high of approximately $125,000. The Entity-Adjusted Liveliness indicator confirmed this, reaching a cycle peak of 0.02676 in December 2025. This indicator typically lags behind price movements and is now reversing downward.
Historically, such reversals have often marked the start of an accumulation phase lasting from 1.1 to 2.5 years. The charts clearly show the previous two accumulation cycles: the 2020 bear market lasted 1.1 years, and the 2022–2024 bear market lasted 2.5 years. Both cycles started in a very similar manner, with the green line reversing from the peak into a sustained downtrend, with prices following downward. The current pattern is structurally identical.
If historical patterns repeat, this accumulation phase could last at least until the end of 2026, with a more realistic expectation extending into mid-2027. A key confirmation signal would be the 90-day moving average reversing downward and breaking below the 365-day moving average (0.02622) from above. Before this crossover occurs, there remains a possibility of a mid-cycle reset and a restart of the upward trend.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
The Strait of Hormuz is fully reopened, and Bitcoin surged to 78K. MicroStrategy (MSTR) jumped 12%.
Iran announces that the Strait of Hormuz is fully open; oil prices fall sharply as supply concerns ease, and U.S. stock indexes hit record highs. Bitcoin once surged to $78,333 and lifted MicroStrategy’s stock price by 12% in a big jump. Market-wide sentiment improves, and cryptocurrencies also show signs of capital inflows.
ChainNewsAbmedia1h ago
BUY ALTCOINS NOW” — Altseason Index Signals Massive Pump Ahead, But Are These 4 Coins Worth the Risk?
The Altseason Index shows a compression pattern that often precedes strong market expansion.
XRP reflects stability, while Aptos and Sui show higher growth but increased volatility.
Pi remains speculative due to unclear liquidity and limited exchange presence.
The altcoin market is
CryptoNewsLand2h ago
XRP Rallies to $1.48 Amid Iran Deal and Ripple Banking News
XRP price rose to $1.48 on April 17, up 4.51% over the last 24 hours, as stronger trading activity, easing geopolitical tension, and Ripple-related banking developments supported sentiment, according to market data. Daily trading volume increased 14.35% to $4.52 billion, while the token's market
CryptoFrontier5h ago
Dogecoin Holds $0.09 Support as $0.10 Breakout Looms
Dogecoin remains around $0.09, showing limited movement as traders await a clear breakout direction. Key support is at $0.08, with resistance at $0.10. Current technical indicators suggest a balanced market, but a decisive move is needed to shift momentum.
CryptoNewsLand6h ago
Chainlink Holds Near $9 as Traders Eye Break Above Key Levels
Key Insights:
Chainlink holds near $9.13 as positive funding rates show bullish sentiment, yet declining open interest signals reduced trader participation and weaker conviction.
Price remains below major moving averages, with resistance between $9.16 and $9.26 limiting upside despite
CryptoNewsLand6h ago
Chainlink Price Compresses Below $10 as Breakout Pressure Builds
Key Insights
Chainlink maintains higher lows within a tightening range, reflecting steady accumulation as buyers absorb selling pressure and prepare for a potential breakout move
Repeated resistance tests near $10 weaken supply levels while rising support strengthens demand, increasing the p
CryptoNewsLand7h ago
