Will SOL be able to bounce back in 2026 amidst strong development?

Most of the ambitious price forecasts for Solana (SOL) made earlier this year have not met expectations, as it is set to end the year significantly lower than at the beginning.

Despite unfavorable price movements, the Solana network continues to record stable growth in key areas, demonstrating the inherent potential and resilience of this ecosystem.

Although the price forecasts for SOL have not met expectations, this event also opens up opportunities to reassess the outlook for 2026. Before delving deeper into future potential, let's review some recent notable developments.

At the beginning of the year, the price of SOL started with a strong upward trend, reaching an all-time high of 295 USD in January. However, the prolonged downtrend in the second half of 2025 has erased the previous gains.

Solana Price Prediction | Source: TradingViewAt the moment, the price of 124 USD for SOL corresponds to a 34% decrease compared to the opening price in 2025. Nevertheless, the Solana ecosystem continues to maintain significant development and innovation momentum, despite pressure from the market.

Do network activities affect the price of SOL?

In the past 12 months, Solana has made significant progress, solidifying its position as a leading financial platform. Notably, the network has overcome concerns regarding stability, which had previously been affected by several disruption incidents.

Solana is currently one of the leading blockchains chosen by major organizations to deploy real-world assets (RWA). Many big names like Gemini and Fidelity have officially integrated into the Solana ecosystem.

The choice of prestigious traditional organizations to select Solana is a significant achievement, paving the way for even stronger development, especially as the RWA trend is expected to explode in 2026.

The attraction of Solana in the RWA segment shows that this platform can effectively leverage the extraordinary growth phase of this field in the future. In addition, the narrative surrounding Solana ETF funds also helps to strengthen the bullish outlook, as these funds demonstrate strong demand for SOL, particularly through the staking ETF format.

This reflects a long-term investment trend, focusing on passive income, which can thereby raise the price level to a higher level.

Price prediction for Solana in 2026 from Polymarket

The price movement of SOL compared to the achievements and advancements of the Solana network shows a clear distinction, indicating that prices are mainly influenced by market factors rather than fundamental factors.

However, at the current time, SOL is trading at a significant discount. This opens up opportunities for investors to see the undervalued potential, especially when considering factors such as the Solana ETF, ongoing development and increasing adoption, as well as alignment with mainstream trends.

Experts are currently reassessing the price forecast for SOL based on these factors. According to Polymarket, the likelihood of SOL dropping below 100 USD in 2026 is forecasted at 80%.

Source: PolymarketIn addition, the market also predicts a 23% chance that the price of SOL will exceed 300 USD in 2026, based on the latest market factors. Overall, the market sentiment currently remains cautious towards this cryptocurrency.

This indicates that the prospects for SOL in 2026 may still be significantly influenced by global macroeconomic conditions.

Nevertheless, the current low price of Solana may present an attractive opportunity for long-term investors to accumulate at a discounted price, preparing for positive fluctuations in the future.

Mr. Giáo