#比特币行情观察
The Federal Reserve announces a 25 basis point rate cut.
Long-term interest rate policies do not affect short-term trends,
Short-term is
The end of the year, no money!

December 11, 2025
Market Trends
After the 25 basis point rate cut by BTC and ETH, the positive effects are realized, the market declines, altcoins broadly fall, and none have performed well.
US stocks rise, the dollar weakens. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, but market expectations are for only one cut each in 2026 and 2027. Global long-term bond yields soar to a 16-year high, with markets betting that the global rate hike cycle is about to end.
Market Hotspots:
1. K new coins Wet and Night doubled in one day. Wet is a DEX on Solana with self-operated ma

BTC, as the interest rate cut takes effect, has surged upward and broken through the 94,000 mark. It has now given back all its gains; let's see how it performs today.
ETH, with the interest rate breakthrough of 3500, has also given back all its gains.
SOL, with a modest increase and a significant decline, has already created a new intraday low.
The one you've been longing for, staying up until 3 a.m.,
and the Federal Reserve's rate cut of 25 basis points, has arrived, but the market doesn't give any opportunities.

December 10, 2025
The probability of BTC returning to 100,000 is very high; let's see if there's hope in December. For corresponding actions, if you haven't sold before December 4, haven't taken profits, you must exit the position, clear the holdings, take profits, and cash out.
Once ETH approaches 4000, start to exit, clear the holdings, take profits, and cash out. Currently, entering and exiting the market is very troublesome; just sell some living expenses, that's enough. Wait for the bottom. For shanzhai tokens that are trapped, you must give up struggling, give up adding to the position,

Analysis of the rhythm differences between Sol and BSC
Playing BSC: Don’t overthink it, “idiotic perspectives” can also skyrocket. BSC has many seemingly outrageous directions, and often that’s how it skyrockets to impress you.
When you see this kind of coin, ask yourself: “Has there ever been a similar idiotic perspective that flew before?” If the answer is yes, then don’t hesitate. Being lofty and aloof won’t help you make money.
Playing Sol: Aesthetic must be improved, and storytelling should be “able to tell, able to continue.” The big players in Sol are generally “not short of money.” M

Currently, there are three main types of “shanzhai” market-making:
1. The “Wild Trader” approach relies on shouting orders and creating hot topics, using volume to set the rhythm, reducing personal capital investment, and pushing prices through multiple accounts “lifting the carriage.”
The play involves pulling (or smashing) spot and futures to eat opponents’ orders, with limited capital, and targeting times of poor liquidity.
Primarily active in second-tier exchanges, focusing on ultra-short-term trades, with the main fear being rats’ warehouses running early.
2. High Control + Earning from f

In the early hours of Thursday, the Federal Reserve rate decision will be announced, and this time a 25 basis point rate cut is pretty much a certainty!
This rate cut seems more like an attempt to save the “economy struggling under a high interest rate environment” and to prevent a potential recession triggered by high rates.
If the market rallies in December, profits should be taken in a timely manner. Don’t stay in the market all the time to avoid profits being wiped out again—many people can't handle the emotional swings of market volatility!

The current market is just like when BTC was at 47,500: market sentiment is extremely poor, everyone is bearish, and MicroStrategy has become the biggest buyer, making aggressive purchases at every key point.
Recently, it's been the same. Whenever the price goes up a bit, big players slam it down, but in less than 10 minutes, as if programmed by a machine, it gets aggressively bought back up.
Later, it turns out that MicroStrategy's buying has increased. But this time, if their buying power is much weaker than when BTC was at 47,500, we’ll wait for the end of the rotation before making a move.

#美联储降息预测 The overall market trend is that BTC and ETH are fluctuating upwards, while altcoins remain inactive. The market is experiencing wide fluctuations with no hype, no hotspots, and no sentiment, making it a good time to rest and take it easy. US stocks are rising, and a rate cut next week has become a consensus. The ZG central bank has increased its gold holdings for the 13th consecutive month.
Market hotspots: 1. The old token GLMR has rebounded and there will be a network upgrade on December 10. 2. On the BSC chain, PIEVERSE continues to surge and is an x402 payment concept, with a ma

Crypto has ended up in this sorry state, and there's not a single innocent party.
VCs chase high-multiple exits, project teams issue tokens to cash out, exchanges turn a blind eye for listing fees, media and KOLs chase traffic and tokens, and retail investors worship 100x dreams. Collectively, “no bottom line” has become the industry culture.
It comes down to one thing: this space is way too tolerant of scammers.
Not only do scammers avoid being nailed to the pillar of shame, but they’re repeatedly crowned as the new narrative kings.
The result is that bad money drives out good, wave after wav

#十二月行情展望 The crypto space is all about accumulating coins, playing with BTC and ETH. If you mess around with all sorts of random, messy projects in the space, you’ll end up getting scammed in the end. In the coming market trends, the main thing the big players will do is offload their holdings, offload their holdings, offload their holdings. Our strategy in response should be to gradually reduce our positions in coins as the market rises.

How to operate for the upcoming market rally:
If BTC rebounds to around 100,000, or 97,000-98,000, if you still hold BTC chips, be sure to reduce your position and take profit!
If ETH rebounds to around 4,000, start to gradually reduce your position and take profit. Don't wait until the market really takes off to enter and chase the bottom, or to follow the market sentiment and FOMO.
The tail-end of the bull market is extremely volatile, especially this round, as professional institutions are entering and professional players are operating. The retail investors' opponents have changed from roo

Ethereum mainnet Gas Fee has dropped to as low as $0.02, even lower than L2... The "fee reduction" you wanted for Ethereum mainnet has already been achieved ahead of schedule.
Since DeFi Summer in 2020, there probably hasn't been a time when Gas has been this low.
Ethereum mainnet Gas is now as low as 0.1 Gwei. A transfer on the Ethereum mainnet now only requires $0.02 in Gas fees. This is a stark contrast compared to previous fees of tens or even hundreds of dollars per transaction.
Transfer fees for several mainstream L2s: ARB $0.004, OP $0.006, and BASE, as an L2, actually has a higher Gas

2025.12.03
Market trend
BTC and ETH surged, altcoins rose across the board. The market continues to fluctuate widely.
U.S. stocks rose, and the dollar fell. Trump hinted that the Federal Reserve Chair candidate would be the dovish Hassett, providing a temporary breather for global markets.
Market Highlights:
1. BTC rose sharply, and the contract rate is negative. Musk calls for BTC, and the U.S. ends tapering.
2. The public chain ETH is rising, and the gas fees are lower than L2.
3. The public chain sol is rising, collaborating with the prediction market kalshi. The meme pippin continues to su

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