3月11日消息，比特币近期重新站上7万美元关口，市场风险偏好随能源市场变化而有所改善。数据显示，比特币一度在周二晚间触及71,612美元高点，随后在亚洲交易时段回落至约70,036美元，但本周仍录得约2.5%的涨幅。从周一接近66,000美元的低点算起，两天内最大涨幅一度达到约8.5%。
市场情绪的变化与能源市场动态密切相关。《华尔街日报》报道称，国际能源署（IEA）正在讨论释放史上最大规模的战略原油储备，这一规模可能超过2022年俄罗斯与乌克兰冲突后释放的1.82亿桶。该提议主要是为了缓解波斯湾地区减产带来的供应压力。自伊朗战争爆发以来，该地区原油供应减少约6%，并推动航空燃油和液化石油气价格上涨。
随着潜在供应释放预期出现，布伦特原油价格在周三跌破每桶90美元，此前一个交易日曾出现约11%的大幅下跌。能源价格的回落被市场视为降低通胀压力的重要信号，也意味着全球流动性环境可能不会进一步收紧，这对包括加密资产在内的风险资产形成一定支撑。
ZeroStack首席执行官Daniel Reis-Faria表示，比特币突破7万美元表明买方正在尝试推动市场脱离近期盘整区间，同时此前杠杆水平的下降使当前市场结构更加稳健。不过，他指出关键问题仍在于BTC能否持续守住这一价位，否则价格可能重新回到此前震荡区间。
技术层面上，分析机构FxPro指出，比特币自2月底以来已经形成一系列更高的阶段性低点，这被视为买方信心逐步增强的信号。但73,000美元仍被认为是重要阻力位，该位置同时接近上周高点与50日移动平均线。
其他主流加密资产表现相对平稳。以太坊价格维持在约2034美元附近，本周累计上涨约2.8%；BNB基本持平；XRP小幅升至1.38美元；Solana约86美元，过去七天表现相对偏弱。受马斯克相关讨论影响，Dogecoin上涨约1%。
市场接下来关注的焦点是3月17日至18日举行的美联储政策会议。如果油价持续低于90美元，通胀压力可能有所缓解，从而为未来降息预期提供空间。目前比特币与标普500指数的90天相关性仍维持在约0.78，美联储政策信号仍可能对加密市场产生直接影响。
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