
週三,美國現貨比特幣 ETF 錄得單日淨流入 4.62 億美元,除 CoinShares 比特幣 ETF(BRRR)外,幾乎所有主要基金均出現資金流入,三日累計吸金額達 11 億美元。比特幣(BTC)價格當日一度突破 73,000 美元,截至發稿時回落至 72,214 美元。
各基金流入概況:IBIT 以 3.07 億美元單日領漲
(來源:Farside Investors)
貝萊德旗下 iShares 比特幣信託 ETF(IBIT)以 3.07 億美元的單日流入領銜全場,佔週三總流入約三分之二,鞏固其在美國現貨比特幣 ETF 市場的主導地位。主要基金的週三資金流向如下:
IBIT(貝萊德 iShares 比特幣信託 ETF):3.07 億美元
FBTC(Fidelity Wise Origin 比特幣基金):4,800 萬美元
Grayscale 比特幣迷你信託 ETF(BTC):3,200 萬美元
BRRR(CoinShares 比特幣 ETF):0 美元,全場唯一零流入基金
然而,三隻基金的年初至今資金流向仍為淨負值:FBTC 外流 11 億美元、Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF(GBTC)外流 6.48 億美元,以及 ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF(ARKB)外流 1.62 億美元。
扭轉五週外流困局:11 億美元三日連入的市場意涵
此次三日連續流入是在一段顯著低迷期後出現的轉向訊號。此前,美國現貨比特幣 ETF 已連續五週錄得合計約 38 億美元的資金外流,反映市場在整體加密貨幣回調期間的持續謹慎。
三日合計 11 億美元的流入,使今年迄今的累計淨流入達到約 7 億美元,但相較去年高峰水準仍屬有限。在此背景下,此次資金回流的規模和持續性,是評估整體趨勢是否發生根本轉變的關鍵觀察指標。
市場情緒:恐懼指數回升但仍在「極度恐慌」區間
根據 Alternative.me 的加密貨幣恐懼與貪婪指數(Crypto Fear & Greed Index),過去 24 小時內指數上漲 12 點,但目前得分仍為 20 分(滿分 100 分),維持在「極度恐慌」區間。比特幣雖已自 2 月低點反彈約 20%,但在過去 30 天內整體仍下跌約 8%,顯示市場情緒改善方向明確,但程度尚屬初步。
常見問題
比特幣 ETF 連三日吸金代表市場趨勢逆轉嗎?
三日合計 11 億美元的流入,是在連續五週合計 38 億美元外流後出現的資金回流訊號。年初至今累計淨流入約 7 億美元,方向轉正具有一定意涵,但確認趨勢性逆轉仍需更多持續的流入數據支撐。
為何 IBIT 在比特幣 ETF 中持續領先資金流入?
貝萊德 IBIT 是全球最大資產管理公司旗下的比特幣 ETF 產品,品牌信任度、流動性與機構採購偏好使其長期吸引最多資金,累計流入規模達 624 億美元,遠超其他同類產品。
比特幣恐懼與貪婪指數目前處於什麼水平?
根據 Alternative.me 數據,該指數目前得分為 20 分,仍處於「極度恐慌」區間,但過去 24 小時已上漲 12 點。比特幣雖自 2 月低點反彈 20%,但近 30 日表現仍下跌約 8%,情緒改善尚未擺脫整體悲觀格局。
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