Gate 研究院:市场下行风险尚未出清,资金涌入以太坊期权做多波动率策略

ETH0,06%
BTC-0,46%

期权市场动态

最新数据显示,BTC 隐含波动率(IV)维持在 38%,ETH IV 维持在 54%。其中,ETH IV 已跌至过去一年 1.6% 分位的极低水平,显示期权市场对短期价格波动的预期极为谨慎。

近一周 BTC 与 ETH 的 25-Delta Skew 整体维持在负值区间,显示市场对下行保护的需求仍占主导。周中短期限 Skew(7D、14D)出现明显走陡并快速下探,一度接近 -7~-8 vol,反映阶段性避险情绪集中释放;随后 Skew 逐步修复。中长期期限(30D、60D、90D、180D)波动相对温和,整体维持在 -3~-4 vol 区间,说明中长期风险定价保持稳定,恐慌更多集中在短端。

本周 ETH 实际波动率在1 月 22 日后快速抬升并维持在 60%+ 的高位,而 7D ATM 隐含波动率先行回落、随后仅温和修复,整体持续低于 RV,导致 VRP 全周大部分时间为负。这表明期权市场对短期真实波动的定价偏谨慎,卖波动策略性价比下降,而做多波动率或具备 Gamma 暴露的策略在本周相对占优。

大宗交易结构

本周五合计约 98 亿美元的 BTC 与 ETH 期权将集中交割,最近 24 小时 BTC 与 ETH 期权市场中,大宗交易以看跌价差为主,BTC 和 ETH 最大规模的大宗交易如下:

  • BTC:卖 BTC-30JAN26-85000-P,共成交约 500 BTC,权利金净收入约 18 万美元。
  • ETH:买 ETH-6FEB26-3150-C,共成交约 2,000 ETH,权利金净支出约 9 万美元。

期权组合策略可使用 Gate 平台推出的组合下单策略工具进行交易。

平台更新

Gate 推出便捷化期权交易工具——组合策略下单,帮助用户更高效地应对不同市场行情判断,如窄幅震荡、缓涨或缓跌等。该功能覆盖多种常见的多腿期权策略场景,包括价差、跨式等。通过组合策略下单,用户可在一次操作中同时创建多腿期权,并以组合形式直观展示整体成本、盈亏结构(PnL)及风险敞口。无需逐腿下单,即可高效构建和管理多腿期权策略,显著降低操作复杂度并提升交易效率。

组合策略产品说明:https://www.gate.com/zh/help/other/combinationstrategies/49208

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