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聯準會 5 月會議暫停,符合市場預期。貨幣政策聲明指出,失業率上升和通脹上升的風險已經增加,這表明政策環境面臨“滯脹”的風險,但由於當前的經濟數據仍然穩健,聯準會並不急於採取行動。聯準會不會在短期內降息,尤其是不會預防性降息,未來降息的路徑將取決於關稅談判:如果談判沒有取得重大進展並且關稅仍然很高,聯準會可能被迫開始“衰退式”降息,或者在年底前降息 100 個基點:但如果談判達成有效結果並降低關稅, 聯準會可能會將降息推遲到 12 月,降息幅度將更加溫和。#BTC #ETH #GT #SOL