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$ETH 4/3 Bitcoin Evening Analysis:
Main Trend: Volatile with a slight downward bias, mainly rebound to sell high, weaker than Bitcoin
✅ Short Positions (Core Strategy)
• Entry Range: 2060–2080, scale-in with light positions
• Target: Break below 2020 to watch for 1980–1950
• Stop Loss: 2100 (strict risk control, do not hold through)
✅ Long Positions (Very light scale-in for trial, only if support is confirmed)
• Entry Range: Stabilize at 2010 and go long
• Target: 2040–2060
• Stop Loss: 2000 (abandon if it falls below to cut losses)
Technical Breakdown
First Resistance: 2060–2080 (4-hour Bollinger upper band + intraday rebound high, significant pressure after Non-Farm Payrolls)
First Support: 2020–2000 (psychological level + Bollinger lower band, tested multiple times)
Strong Support: 1980–1950 (this week’s low, the dividing line between bulls and bears)
3. Market Signals
Trend remains weaker than BTC, rebound lacks strength, sensitive to declines
4-hour moving averages are in a bearish alignment, volume is shrinking
Post Non-Farm Payrolls, capital tends to flee, night trading likely to trend downward
🌍 Macroeconomic Outlook (Non-Farm Payrolls Analysis)
Non-Farm Payrolls beat expectations strongly, USD and US Treasury yields rise, negative for ETH
Market rate cut expectations are delayed, risk assets overall under pressure