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$R2 Being able to sell is the most important.
Bitcoin (BTC): Defend key support levels and wait for macro guidance
Current Overview: BTC is trading around $66,700 today, down nearly 3% last week. It is currently testing the lower boundary of the consolidation channel (approximately $65,800).
Technical Analysis: Daily RSI is about 42, indicating ongoing selling pressure but not yet oversold; MACD momentum is weakening. Price is well below the 50-day and 100-day EMAs (above $71,000), maintaining a short-term bearish outlook.
Trading Strategies:
· Aggressive Short-term: Light positions to buy in the $65,800–$66,500 range, with a stop-loss at $64,800, targeting $69,000
· Conservative: Wait for tonight’s Powell speech and this week’s non-farm payroll data before making decisions
· Key Levels: Resistance at $69,000 and $71,000; Support at $65,800 and $64,000
Core Logic: The market is currently in a “data-dependent” phase, liquidity is drying up, but funds are “loaded” (with $2.4 billion in stablecoins flooding into exchanges). If macro data is favorable, it could trigger a liquidity surge upward; otherwise, the $65,800 support level will be tested.