Gold at 4155: Major Reversal, Can the Safe-Haven Consensus Restart?


News Highlights
Credit Base Rising: Although short-term geopolitical tensions are easing, mainstream financial institutions’ increased acceptance of non-credit assets provides solid long-term support for gold prices.
Liquidity Play: While the global high-interest-rate environment persists, the marginal weakening of the US dollar index has given gold some breathing room. Safe-haven funds show strong bottom-fishing willingness after a pullback.
Technical Analysis
Extreme Exhaustion Signal: On the 30-minute chart, when the price approached 4155, it precisely triggered the TD9 + TD13 double oversold signals, followed by a volume-driven rebound.
Key Levels: Currently, the price is fluctuating around 4461, in the Alligator’s open mouth zone. The 4400 level is the current bulls’ lifeline, while 4516 is a short-term resistance zone that needs to be broken.
Indicator Convergence: KDJ completed a death cross at a low level and quickly recovered, RSI has risen from the oversold zone near 20 back to the midline, indicating bullish momentum is re-accumulating.
Trading Strategy
Long Entry Suggestion: If the price retraces to around 4440 without breaking below, it can be considered a second buying opportunity.
Stop-Loss Advice: Place stops firmly below the 4400 integer level.
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