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📋 All important Federal Reserve content below:
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🔴 Core Decision: Interest Rate Unchanged
Interest rate maintained at 3.5%-3.75%, vote 11-1, with only Miran voting for a 25 basis point cut, all others in agreement to hold steady.
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📊 Most Critical Dot Plot Changes
• 2026 projected to have only 1 rate cut remaining, 7 officials believe no cuts this year at all
• 2027 one additional cut, long-term rate anchor at 3.1%
• Compared to last meeting, internal sentiment increasingly hawkish, rate cut expectations further narrowed
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📈 Economic Forecast Updates
• PCE inflation raised from 2.4% to 2.7%, this is the biggest headwind
• GDP growth slightly raised to 2.4%, economy not collapsing
• Unemployment rate expectations unchanged
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⚡ Powell Press Conference Highlights
• Clearly stated will not resign proactively, will remain in office until successor Kevin Warsh is officially confirmed
• Cautious stance on inflation, stating "medium-term inflation pressures remain uncertain"
• Iran conflict pushing oil prices near $100/barrel, directly raising inflation expectations and compressing rate cut space
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💥 Impact on Crypto
• Bitcoin declined nearly 4% after decision announcement, not a major issue.
• Dow Jones down over 600 points, Nasdaq and S&P 500 decline in sync
• 10-year Treasury yield at 4.21%, risk assets under overall pressure
• Fear and Greed Index currently at 26 (fear zone), sentiment not improving
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🧭 Key Levels Going Forward
• Bitcoin unable to hold 72000, watch 68000 below
• If 72000 holds, after digesting consolidation still opportunity to push higher and break through!
• Rate cut expectations bleak near-term, maintain light positions.