# Little Prince's Notes - Today's Share (If you find it helpful, give Little Prince a follow)

Monday early morning at 6 AM, global markets jolted awake in a familiar scent of danger. This is not a drill—the real storm has arrived.

Oil prices surged, Brent crude standing above $105, US crude breaking through the $100 mark; gold and US stock futures gapped down at open, with some rebounds, but panic is written all over the face. The market's first reaction is direct: oil is more expensive, risks are bigger, let's run.

The situation is escalating. The US launched a surprise attack on Iran's largest oil export hub, Kharg Island—Iran's economic lifeline and the global energy supply's "vulnerability." This is not "limited conflict," it's a direct cut to the artery. Markets aren't afraid of war; they're afraid of Iran's retaliatory blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Once the strait closes, $105 oil is just the starting point—the real "energy tsunami" hasn't been priced in yet.

Although the Wall Street Journal reported the US plans to assemble an escort coalition to try to suppress oil prices, the market simply doesn't believe it. Trump's advisor Hassett said military operations would take 4-6 weeks, but Iran is already prepared for an "attrition war." The longer the war drags on, the bigger the supply gap, and the harder it becomes for oil prices to reverse.

Global markets have now entered "wartime mode." Bank of America's cross-asset volatility index shows market stress has surged to the fastest pace since last year's tariff shock. Everyone is watching Wednesday—the Fed's interest rate decision stacked with war uncertainties will be the critical turning point.

Here's the key: now is not trading war, it's trading "energy shock." As long as oil remains above $100, the market won't have a peaceful day. Bitcoin's recent gains have been fierce, but don't mistake it for a bull market return—that's capital buying insurance, a safe haven for panicked funds. Don't chase highs! All rallies are illusions. The more violently it surges, the harder it falls; a pullback is inevitable.

Little Prince's reminder:
Now is not the time for greed—it's time to save yourself.
Don't be seduced by surging prices, don't believe in "100,000 Bitcoin" fairy tales.
Risk control first; staying alive is most important.
See the truth on Wednesday, stay calm, don't act recklessly.

Little Prince
March 17, 2026