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A question that concerns anyone who understands money:
If gold covered U.S. debt like it did in the past, what would its price be today?
The answer is in this chart… and it's shocking.
Three numbers tell the story of a hundred years:
1940 — U.S. gold reserves = 51% of government debt
The implied price of gold if this level were restored today:
→ $75,000 per ounce
1980 — Reserves = 18% of debt
The implied price:
→ $26,000 per ounce
Today — Reserves = only 3% of debt
The current market price:
→ $5,100 per ounce
What does this mean?
Since the end of the gold standard in 1971, U.S. debt has grown at a pace that gold hasn't kept up with.
The result: Today's dollar is backed by only 3% gold compared to 51% at its peak.
Three possible explanations for this gap:
First interpretation: Gold is drastically underpriced by historical standards and will rise dramatically.
Second interpretation: U.S. debt has grown so large that no real asset could cover it — this is a deeper structural problem.
Third interpretation: The gold standard ended forever and the comparison is irrelevant.
But here's what nobody disagrees with:
Central banks around the world — including China, Russia, and India — have been buying gold at an unprecedented pace since 2022.
Do they know something we don't?
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