Ethereum Price Release Schedule and Support Analysis

By the end of November 2025, Ethereum’s price was around $3,030, but by early March 2026, it had fallen to $2.07K. This is a significant decline—about 32% loss in value—dependent on the ongoing impact of ETF unlocks and the observed shifts in market sentiment. Since November is fully felt, understanding the main assets at this time remains crucial. If the ETF unlock schedule has previously influenced market sentiment, investor strategies during this period could also have experienced notable changes.

ETF Unlocks and Major Investor Movements

In the first half of November 2025, significant ETF unlock activity was observed in Ethereum flows. Ethereum ETFs listed on US exchanges saw outflows of $1.284 billion over a seven-day period from November 11 to November 20. Despite $368 million in inflows at the end of the month, this resulted in a total net outflow of $1.4 billion.

According to data from Farside Investors, the overall market trend for the month remained negative until the ETF unlock schedule related to contracts was addressed. Privately, although the fund accumulated more figures over the past week, it could not fully replicate previous losses. Led by Tom Lee’s firm, Bitmine—the largest Ethereum treasury—added 14,618 ETH (worth approximately $185 million) in the last week of November, continuing to support the price during the intense unlock period.

This movement indicates that Bitmine and other major investors maintained a cautious sentiment at the end of the month. Although the Trump administration, which had a positive stance toward crypto in the US, was expected to generate a positive impression, the market was still in the process of rebalancing. The unlock schedule and timing remain among the most critical factors for investors, and analysis is ongoing.

Derivatives Market Long Position Strategies

At the end of November, interesting activity was observed in the derivatives markets. According to Coinglass liquidation maps, 3.97 million active long ETH contracts outweighed short positions by a total of $1.9 billion. The most significant bullish zone was around $2,960, which attracted the largest cluster of derivative positions in the past seven days.

Within this $2,960 support cluster, over $700 million in long positions were placed. This concentration indicates strong commitment to protecting this level. Even when Bitcoin dropped below $90,400 on November 29, Ethereum maintained its support zone around $3,000. This sentiment suggests that major investors have constructed a “fake” support zone in this area.

The long position strategy in the derivatives market remained strong as December approached. Investors continued to trust the $2,960 support zone, maintaining this key level as a critical defense.

Risks and Opportunities at the Support Zone

One of the key questions for Ethereum’s price is: what will happen at the $2,960 and $3,100 zones? According to Farside and Coinglass data, at the $3,100 level, $1.3 billion in short positions are accumulated. This concentration indicates a tactical point.

If bulls (those expecting the price to rise) succeed in defending this support cluster, Ethereum could move toward $3,500. However, if the $2,960 support line breaks, the price could drop back to $2,880 or even $2,820. The projected price of $2.07K in March 2026 suggests the possibility of falling below even $2,820.

A short squeeze—rapid buying to close short positions—could quickly push Ethereum’s price higher if necessary. Therefore, well-verified support zones are particularly important. The observed derivatives market structures are critical for analyzing Ethereum’s future prospects.

Ethereum’s Future: Technical Indicators Overview

What does technical analysis say about Ethereum’s price? As of November 30, 2025, data shows Ethereum trading above its 20-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average), indicating a short-term demand recovery. However, the 200-day moving average still hovers around $3,130, continuing its downward trend.

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) stands at 51—indicating a neutral condition. The positive volume delta suggests short-term buying strength. These indicators imply that if major investors maintain their long positions at the $2,960 support, Ethereum could aim for $3,500 in December.

However, Ethereum’s price in March 2026, at $2.07K, shows that previous forecasts did not fully materialize. Considering the volatility of digital assets, the misaligned predictions from late 2025 highlight the need to reassess support zones based on current analysis.