Will the price of 1kg of aluminum 6061 in 2026 continue its upward trend?

The global aluminum market in 2026 faces two conflicting factors: structural supply constraints and increasing demand from eco-friendly industries. In particular, price movements of major aluminum alloys, including Aluminum 6061 1kg price, reflect these market dynamics. Even amid low growth, supply restrictions and policy variables increase price volatility, signaling market opportunities investors should watch.

Aluminum 6061 Alloy and Market Position

Aluminum is the third most abundant metal on Earth, known for being lightweight and durable. Aluminum alloys like 6061 are widely used in industries such as aerospace, automotive frames, construction materials, and electronics. With the expansion of the electric vehicle industry, demand for Aluminum 6061 in battery enclosures and structural components has surged.

Aluminum is recyclable, has excellent thermal and electrical conductivity, and resists corrosion. These qualities make it popular in aerospace, marine, chemical, and power infrastructure sectors, with applications expanding from everyday items to industrial parts.

Key Factors Influencing Aluminum Supply Constraints, Demand Recovery, and Price Rise in 2026

In 2026, geopolitical tensions and policy changes are expected to continue exerting supply-side pressure on the aluminum market. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has disrupted Russian aluminum supplies, maintaining ongoing pressure on global supply chains. Environmental regulations and energy consumption limits in major producers like China keep production caps in place, keeping global aluminum inventories low.

On the demand side, energy transition industries such as electric vehicles, renewable energy, and smart grids are structurally driving aluminum demand. Recovery in aerospace and normalization of construction activities also support demand, creating an environment where prices of key alloys like Aluminum 6061 1kg are sustained.

As of mid-January, aluminum prices based on METALTRADE are around $3,196, showing a continued upward trend since late 2025. While there have been no extreme fluctuations compared to the start of the year, declining global inventories and supply constraints are gradually pushing prices higher.

Factors Affecting the Price of Aluminum 6061 1kg: Tariffs, Energy Costs, and Geopolitical Risks

The future direction of Aluminum 6061 1kg price is influenced by multiple intertwined factors. First, tariff policies are a direct impact—U.S. tariffs on low-cost Chinese aluminum products are exerting upward pressure on global prices.

Energy costs are another critical factor. Aluminum production consumes vast amounts of electricity, so rising energy prices directly increase production costs, which are passed on to prices.

Geopolitical stability also plays a role. The progression of the Russia-Ukraine war could lead to tightening or easing of international trade restrictions on Russian aluminum, immediately affecting supply and prices.

Broader economic fluctuations, carbon emission regulations increasing production costs, and shifts in demand from aerospace, construction, and automotive sectors all collectively influence price formation.

ING and Goldman Sachs Aluminum Price Forecasts for 2026

Forecasts from major financial institutions vary. ING Research projects an average aluminum price of around $2,900 in 2026, suggesting some adjustment from current levels.

Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish outlook in the first half of the year but may see prices adjusting to around $2,350 in the second half. Given current prices near $3,200, the likelihood of a sharp decline to that level is considered low.

Some analyses suggest prices could even reach higher levels than previous bullish forecasts if supply constraints deepen and structural demand continues to grow, potentially testing the upper bounds of Aluminum 6061 1kg price.

Using CFDs for Two-Way Profit in 2026 Market Volatility

In uncertain times where aluminum prices may rise or fall, CFD (Contract for Difference) trading offers a more effective alternative to traditional spot trading.

CFD allows traders to profit from price movements without owning the physical asset. While buying 1 ton of aluminum involves storage, transportation, and insurance costs, CFDs enable profit from price differences without these expenses.

The key advantage of CFDs is two-way trading—you can open long positions if you expect prices to rise, or short positions if you expect declines, capturing profits regardless of market direction. This is especially useful in volatile markets with frequent trend reversals.

Leverage is another feature. Using a 1:10 leverage, for example, allows trading ten times the capital, maximizing profit potential with minimal initial investment. For instance, to buy 1 ton of aluminum at $3,200, instead of paying the full amount, you could use leverage to control the same position with just $320.

However, two-way positions also mean potential losses in both directions, and higher leverage increases both profit and risk. Careful technical and fundamental analysis, along with prudent leverage use, is essential.

How to Start Aluminum CFD Trading on MeatTrade

To trade aluminum CFDs, you need to register on a global trading platform offering aluminum CFD products. Platforms like MeatTrade provide easy account setup, technical indicators, real-time news, and advanced analysis tools.

After opening an account, you can start trading immediately via mobile or desktop trading systems. Entering the ‘ALUMINIUM’ symbol displays aluminum products, with real-time charts and technical indicators for market analysis.

The key to successful trading is accurately predicting future aluminum prices. Expecting prices to rise? Open a long position; expecting a fall? Short the market. Continuously monitor the latest news and combine technical and fundamental analysis to interpret market signals accurately.

Investment Opportunities and Precautions for the 2026 Aluminum Market

2026 is expected to be a pivotal year for aluminum, with supply constraints and structural demand growth shaping the market trajectory. The prices of major alloys, including Aluminum 6061 1kg, are likely to trend upward over the long term.

While variables like tariff changes, energy prices, and geopolitical risks exist, overall, supply-side restrictions are expected to support prices. In this environment, CFD trading strategies can offer investors two-way profit opportunities.

Utilize trusted global trading platforms like MeatTrade to actively respond to market volatility and effectively seize opportunities in 2026.