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The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in March at 95.9%
According to ChainCatcher, and as reported by Jin10, before the data release, based on CME "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 4.1%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 95.9%.
By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 16.4%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 83%. The probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 0.5%.
By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 44%.